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A third-party casualty risk model for unmanned aircraft system operations

Author

Listed:
  • Melnyk, Richard
  • Schrage, Daniel
  • Volovoi, Vitali
  • Jimenez, Hernando

Abstract

Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS) integration into the National Airspace System (NAS) is an important goal of many members of the Aerospace community including stakeholders such as the military, law enforcement and potential civil users of UAS. However, integration efforts have remained relatively limited due to safety concerns. Due to the nature of UAS, safety predictions must look beyond the system itself and take the operating environment into account. A framework that can link UAS reliability and physical characteristics to the effects on the bystander population is required. This study proposes using a Target Level of Safety approach and an event tree format, populated with data from existing studies that share characteristics of UAS crashes to enable casualty prediction for UAS operations.

Suggested Citation

  • Melnyk, Richard & Schrage, Daniel & Volovoi, Vitali & Jimenez, Hernando, 2014. "A third-party casualty risk model for unmanned aircraft system operations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 105-116.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:124:y:2014:i:c:p:105-116
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.11.016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
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    1. Richard Melnyk & Daniel Schrage & Vitali Volovoi & Hernando Jimenez, 2014. "Sense and Avoid Requirements for Unmanned Aircraft Systems Using a Target Level of Safety Approach," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(10), pages 1894-1906, October.
    2. Oh, Soohwan & Yoon, Yoonjin, 2024. "Urban drone operations: A data-centric and comprehensive assessment of urban airspace with a Pareto-based approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    3. Blom, Henk A.P. & Jiang, Chenpeng & Grimme, Wouter B.A. & Mitici, Mihaela & Cheung, Yuk S., 2021. "Third party risk modelling of Unmanned Aircraft System operations, with application to parcel delivery service," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    4. Hongbo He & Xiaohan Liao & Huping Ye & Chenchen Xu & Huanyin Yue, 2023. "Data-Driven Insights into Population Exposure Risks: Towards Sustainable and Safe Urban Airspace Utilization by Unmanned Aerial Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-20, August.
    5. Pang, Bizhao & Hu, Xinting & Dai, Wei & Low, Kin Huat, 2022. "UAV path optimization with an integrated cost assessment model considering third-party risks in metropolitan environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).

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