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Do short-term international capital inflows drive China's asset markets?

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Chieh-Hsuan
  • Hwang, Jen-Te
  • Chung, Chien-Ping

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between short-term international capital inflows and asset markets in China. First, several indices are used to measure the status of China's markets in recent years and to determine possible impacts of short-term foreign capital inflows on asset markets. Second, a structural vector auto-regressive (SVAR) model is used to explore the effects of the unsterilized portion of the monetary base and short-term international capital inflows on the Chinese stock markets and real estate markets. The empirical evidence demonstrates that the relationship between short-term international capital inflows and asset prices is self-fufilling and mutually reinforcing. The unsterilized portion of the monetary base further exacerbates asset price bubbles, which suggests that short-term international capital inflows and excess liquidity will gradually escalate the severity of asset price bubbles.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Chieh-Hsuan & Hwang, Jen-Te & Chung, Chien-Ping, 2016. "Do short-term international capital inflows drive China's asset markets?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 115-124.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:60:y:2016:i:c:p:115-124
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2015.10.006
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    Cited by:

    1. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2017. "The impact of foreign equity flows on market volatility during politically tranquil and turbulent times: The Egyptian experience," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 61-77.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural vector auto-regressive model; Short-term international capital inflows; Asset prices; Excess liquidity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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