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Can mutual funds time risk factors?

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  • Benos, Evangelos
  • Jochec, Marek
  • Nyekel, Victor

Abstract

Using daily observations from 448 actively managed funds, we employ the methodology in Bollen and Busse (2001) in order to assess the ability of fund managers to time systematic risk factors. We first construct synthetic portfolios in order to obtain the empirical distribution of timing coefficients under the null hypothesis of no timing ability and then compare this distribution to that of the timing coefficients of the actual funds. Fund managers do not seem to be timing any of the risk factors. We interpret this result as evidence that factor timing ability does not persist over long time periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Benos, Evangelos & Jochec, Marek & Nyekel, Victor, 2010. "Can mutual funds time risk factors?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 509-514, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:50:y:2010:i:4:p:509-514
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lakonishok, Josef & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1994. "Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(5), pages 1541-1578, December.
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    9. Evangelos Benos & Marek Jochec, 2011. "Short term persistence in mutual fund market timing and stock selection abilities," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 221-246, May.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Venessa S. Tchamyou & Simplice A. Asongu & Jacinta C. Nwachukwu, 2018. "Effects of asymmetric information on market timing in the mutual fund industry," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(5), pages 542-557, May.
    3. Manuel Ammann & Sebastian Fischer & Florian Weigert, 2018. "Risk Factor Exposure Variation and Mutual Fund Performance," Working Papers on Finance 1817, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Nov 2018.
    4. Ammann, Manuel & Fischer, Sebastian & Weigert, Florian, 2020. "Factor exposure variation and mutual fund performance," CFR Working Papers 20-06, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    5. Elyasiani, Elyas & Rytchkov, Oleg & Stetsyuk, Ivan, 2022. "Do real estate mutual fund managers create value?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 396-406.

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