IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v603y2022ics0378437122005210.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The financial repercussions of military escalation

Author

Listed:
  • Santorsola, Marco
  • Caferra, Rocco
  • Morone, Andrea

Abstract

This paper investigates the initial market reactions to the February 2022 military escalation. We provide an overview while discriminating for different investment classes, shining light on the intensity of the geopolitical risk and on potential hedging properties of specific assets (such as gold and Bitcoin).

Suggested Citation

  • Santorsola, Marco & Caferra, Rocco & Morone, Andrea, 2022. "The financial repercussions of military escalation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:603:y:2022:i:c:s0378437122005210
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2022.127791
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437122005210
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2022.127791?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brière, Marie & Chapelle, Ariane & Szafarz, Ariane, 2012. "No contagion, only globalization and flight to quality," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1729-1744.
    2. Dirk G. Baur & Brian M. Lucey, 2010. "Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 217-229, May.
    3. Massimo Guidolin & Eliana La Ferrara, 2010. "The economic effects of violent conflict: Evidence from asset market reactions," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 47(6), pages 671-684, November.
    4. Aloui, Riadh & Aïssa, Mohamed Safouane Ben & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2011. "Global financial crisis, extreme interdependences, and contagion effects: The role of economic structure?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 130-141, January.
    5. Gallegati, Marco, 2012. "A wavelet-based approach to test for financial market contagion," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3491-3497.
    6. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les & Xu, Danyang, 2021. "Pandemic-related financial market volatility spillovers: Evidence from the Chinese COVID-19 epicentre," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 55-81.
    7. Assaf, Ata & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Demir, Ender, 2022. "Using transfer entropy to measure information flows between cryptocurrencies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 586(C).
    8. Papadamou, Stephanos & Fassas, Athanasios P. & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Dimitriou, Dimitrios, 2021. "Flight-to-quality between global stock and bond markets in the COVID era," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    9. He, Jiayi & Shang, Pengjian, 2017. "Comparison of transfer entropy methods for financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 772-785.
    10. Rocco Caferra & Pasquale Marcello Falcone & Andrea Morone & Piergiuseppe Morone, 2022. "Is COVID-19 anticipating the future? Evidence from investors’ sustainable orientation," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(1), pages 177-196, March.
    11. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7746 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Bredin, Don & Conlon, Thomas & Potì, Valerio, 2015. "Does gold glitter in the long-run? Gold as a hedge and safe haven across time and investment horizon," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 320-328.
    13. Junttila, Juha & Pesonen, Juho & Raatikainen, Juhani, 2018. "Commodity market based hedging against stock market risk in times of financial crisis: The case of crude oil and gold," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 255-280.
    14. Caferra, Rocco & Vidal-Tomás, David, 2021. "Who raised from the abyss? A comparison between cryptocurrency and stock market dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    15. Campa, Jose Manuel & Fernandes, Nuno, 2006. "Sources of gains from international portfolio diversification," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(4-5), pages 417-443, October.
    16. Melvin, Michael & Taylor, Mark P., 2009. "The global financial crisis: Causes, threats and opportunities. Introduction and overview," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(8), pages 1243-1245, December.
    17. Caferra, Rocco, 2022. "Sentiment spillover and price dynamics: Information flow in the cryptocurrency and stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 593(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Umar, Muhammad & Riaz, Yasir & Yousaf, Imran, 2022. "Impact of Russian-Ukraine war on clean energy, conventional energy, and metal markets: Evidence from event study approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Górka, Joanna & Hemmings, Danial & Zaremba, Adam, 2024. "Uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns: A lesson from turbulent times," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Talbi, Marwa & Bedoui, Rihab & de Peretti, Christian & Belkacem, Lotfi, 2021. "Is the role of precious metals as precious as they are? A vine copula and BiVaR approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Mensi, Walid & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Asymmetric spillover and network connectedness between crude oil, gold, and Chinese sector stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    3. Ali, Sajid & Bouri, Elie & Czudaj, Robert Lukas & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Revisiting the valuable roles of commodities for international stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    4. Disli, Mustafa & Nagayev, Ruslan & Salim, Kinan & Rizkiah, Siti K. & Aysan, Ahmet F., 2021. "In search of safe haven assets during COVID-19 pandemic: An empirical analysis of different investor types," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Caferra, Rocco, 2022. "Sentiment spillover and price dynamics: Information flow in the cryptocurrency and stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 593(C).
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris, 2020. "Gold as a hedge against oil shocks: Evidence from new datasets for oil shocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    7. Joscha Beckmann & Theo Berger & Robert Czudaj & Thi-Hong-Van Hoang, 2019. "Tail dependence between gold and sectorial stocks in China: perspectives for portfolio diversification," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1117-1144, March.
    8. Oosterlinck, Kim & Reyns, Ariane & Szafarz, Ariane, 2023. "Gold, bitcoin, and portfolio diversification: Lessons from the Ukrainian war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    9. Bouri, Elie & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Return connectedness across asset classes around the COVID-19 outbreak," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    10. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & Canepa, Alessandra, 2022. "The role of precious metals in portfolio diversification during the Covid19 pandemic: A wavelet-based quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    11. Godil, Danish Iqbal & Sarwat, Salman & Sharif, Arshian & Jermsittiparsert, Kittisak, 2020. "How oil prices, gold prices, uncertainty and risk impact Islamic and conventional stocks? Empirical evidence from QARDL technique," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    12. Semeyutin, Artur & Downing, Gareth, 2022. "Co-jumps in the U.S. interest rates and precious metals markets and their implications for investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    13. Ai Jun Hou & Ian Khrashchevskyi & Jarkko Peltomäki, 2019. "Hedge and safe haven investing with investment styles," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(5), pages 351-364, September.
    14. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Does political risk matter for gold market fluctuations? A structural VAR analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    15. Giofré, Maela, 2022. "Foreign investment in times of COVID-19: How strong is the flight to advanced economies?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    16. Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Sensoy, Ahmet & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Salah Uddin, Gazi, 2020. "U.S. equity and commodity futures markets: Hedging or financialization?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    17. Yousaf, Imran & Beljid, Makram & Chaibi, Anis & Ajlouni, Ahmed AL, 2022. "Do volatility spillover and hedging among GCC stock markets and global factors vary from normal to turbulent periods? Evidence from the global financial crisis and Covid-19 pandemic crisis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    18. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Qureshi, Fiza & Arif, Muhammad & Balli, Faruk, 2021. "Asymmetric relationship between gold and Islamic stocks in bearish, normal and bullish market conditions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    19. Mensi, Walid & Yousaf, Imran & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Asymmetric spillover and network connectedness between gold, BRENT oil and EU subsector markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    20. Bekiros, Stelios & Boubaker, Sabri & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2017. "Black swan events and safe havens: The role of gold in globally integrated emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB), pages 317-334.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:603:y:2022:i:c:s0378437122005210. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.