IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v536y2019ics0378437119306144.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Systemic risk and liquidity rescue in complex financial networks: Pit hole and black hole of liquidity

Author

Listed:
  • He, Yi
  • Wu, Shan
  • Tong, Mu

Abstract

Using the payment settlement network as an example and constructing the liquidity circulation model in a complex network, the intrinsic mechanism of liquidity circulation is analyzed, and the function of different network nodes in liquidity circulation is studied by distinguishing between the spillover node and leaking node and the liquidity pit hole and liquidity black hole. After studying the different system risk scenarios under different network structures based on the simulation, this paper discovers that the smaller the differences between nodes and the closer the connections, the smaller the probability of systematic risk and the more serious the consequence when the risk is formed. This result is determined by the characteristics of network topology and the liquidity demand of the nodes affected by it. This study also finds that because the degree of systemic risk is positively correlated with the system’s liquidity gap, the rescue strategy based on using the nodes’ liquidity gaps to allocate the rescue fund is better and can achieve complete relief when the gaps are eliminated. When taking care to avoid liquidity pits, the rescue effect can be improved on the small rescue scale. In different systemic risk scenarios, the order of rescue also matters. When the risk is high, priority should be given to the participants with a smaller liquidity gap, when the risk is moderate, priority should be given to a balanced bailout, and there is only a trivial difference between the different rescue orders when the risk is small.

Suggested Citation

  • He, Yi & Wu, Shan & Tong, Mu, 2019. "Systemic risk and liquidity rescue in complex financial networks: Pit hole and black hole of liquidity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:536:y:2019:i:c:s0378437119306144
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.04.241
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437119306144
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2019.04.241?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gai, Prasanna & Kapadia, Sujit, 2010. "Contagion in financial networks," Bank of England working papers 383, Bank of England.
    2. Allen, Franklin & Babus, Ana & Carletti, Elena, 2012. "Asset commonality, debt maturity and systemic risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(3), pages 519-534.
    3. Wang, Gang-Jin & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Lin, Min & Xie, Chi & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2018. "Interconnectedness and systemic risk of China's financial institutions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 1-18.
    4. Franklin Allen & Douglas Gale, 2000. "Financial Contagion," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(1), pages 1-33, February.
    5. Allen, Franklin & Babus, Ana & Carletti, Elena, 2010. "Financial Connections and Systemic Risk," Working Papers 10-20, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
    6. Hamed Amini & Rama Cont & Andreea Minca, 2012. "Stress Testing The Resilience Of Financial Networks," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Matheus R Grasselli & Lane P Hughston (ed.), Finance at Fields, chapter 2, pages 17-36, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    7. Daron Acemoglu & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2015. "Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(2), pages 564-608, February.
    8. Hamed Amini & Rama Cont & Andreea Minca, 2012. "Stress Testing The Resilience Of Financial Networks," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(01), pages 1-20.
    9. Lenzu, Simone & Tedeschi, Gabriele, 2012. "Systemic risk on different interbank network topologies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(18), pages 4331-4341.
    10. Hamed Amini & Rama Cont & Andreea Minca, 2012. "Stress testing the resilience of financial networks," Post-Print hal-00801538, HAL.
    11. Soramäki, Kimmo & Cook, Samantha, 2013. "SinkRank: An algorithm for identifying systemically important banks in payment systems," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-27.
    12. Freixas, Xavier & Parigi, Bruno M & Rochet, Jean-Charles, 2000. "Systemic Risk, Interbank Relations, and Liquidity Provision by the Central Bank," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(3), pages 611-638, August.
    13. Julio J. Rotemberg, 2011. "Minimal Settlement Assets in Economies with Interconnected Financial Obligations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(1), pages 81-108, February.
    14. James Chapman & Yinan Zhang, 2010. "Estimating the Structure of the Payment Network in the LVTS: An Application of Estimating Communities in Network Data," Staff Working Papers 10-13, Bank of Canada.
    15. Larry Eisenberg & Thomas H. Noe, 2001. "Systemic Risk in Financial Systems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(2), pages 236-249, February.
    16. L. C. G. Rogers & L. A. M. Veraart, 2013. "Failure and Rescue in an Interbank Network," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(4), pages 882-898, April.
    17. Kei Imakubo & Yutaka Soejima, 2010. "The Microstructure of Japan's Interbank Money Market: Simulating Contagion of Intraday Flow of Funds Using BOJ-NET Payment Data," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 28, pages 151-180, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liming Zhang & Ming Cai & Yingxin Zhang & Shuai Wang & Yao Xiao, 2024. "Two-layer network evolutionary game model applied to complex systems," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 97(11), pages 1-17, November.
    2. Xiaoming Zhang & Chunyan Wei & Stefano Zedda, 2019. "Analysis of China Commercial Banks’ Systemic Risk Sustainability through the Leave-One-Out Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Teteryatnikova, Mariya, 2014. "Systemic risk in banking networks: Advantages of “tiered” banking systems," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 186-210.
    2. Maryam Farboodi, 2014. "Intermediation and Voluntary Exposure to Counterparty Risk," 2014 Meeting Papers 365, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Elliott, Matthew & Georg, Co-Pierre & Hazell, Jonathon, 2021. "Systemic risk shifting in financial networks," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    4. in 't Veld, Daan & van der Leij, Marco & Hommes, Cars, 2020. "The formation of a core-periphery structure in heterogeneous financial networks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    5. Paul Glasserman & Peyton Young, 2015. "Contagion in Financial Networks," Economics Series Working Papers 764, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    6. Hong Chen & Tan Wang & David D. Yao, 2021. "Financial Network and Systemic Risk—A Dynamic Model," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(8), pages 2441-2466, August.
    7. Daniel Grigat & Fabio Caccioli, 2017. "Reverse stress testing interbank networks," Papers 1702.08744, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2017.
    8. Hamed Amini & Andreea Minca, 2016. "Inhomogeneous Financial Networks and Contagious Links," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(5), pages 1109-1120, October.
    9. Lasse Loepfe & Antonio Cabrales & Angel Sánchez, 2013. "Towards a Proper Assignment of Systemic Risk: The Combined Roles of Network Topology and Shock Characteristics," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(10), pages 1-1, October.
    10. Greenwood, Robin & Landier, Augustin & Thesmar, David, 2015. "Vulnerable banks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 471-485.
    11. Hitoshi Hayakawa, 2020. "Liquidity in Financial Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(1), pages 253-301, January.
    12. Vitali, Stefania & Battiston, Stefano & Gallegati, Mauro, 2016. "Financial fragility and distress propagation in a network of regions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 56-75.
    13. Yajing Huang & Taoxiong Liu, 2023. "Diversification and Systemic Risk of Networks Holding Common Assets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 341-388, January.
    14. Hong Fan & Chirongo Moses Keregero & Qianqian Gao, 2018. "The Application of Macroprudential Capital Requirements in Managing Systemic Risk," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-15, January.
    15. Zornitsa Todorova, 2020. "Network Risk in the European Sovereign CDS Market," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 12(2), pages 137-154, December.
    16. Navarro, Noemí & Tran, Dan H., 2018. "Shock Diffusion in Regular Networks: The Role of Transitive Cycles," MPRA Paper 86267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Carro, Adrian & Stupariu, Patricia, 2024. "Uncertainty, non-linear contagion and the credit quality channel: An application to the Spanish interbank market," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    18. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Souza, Sergio Rubens Stancato & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2017. "Monitoring vulnerability and impact diffusion in financial networks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 109-135.
    19. Bardoscia, Marco & Barucca, Paolo & Codd, Adam Brinley & Hill, John, 2019. "Forward-looking solvency contagion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    20. Elliott, Matthew & Georg, Co-Pierre & Hazell, Jonathon, 2021. "Systemic risk shifting in financial networks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123924, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Network topology; Systemic risk; Liquidity rescue; Payment system;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:536:y:2019:i:c:s0378437119306144. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.