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Brazilian elections: voting for a scaling democracy

Author

Listed:
  • Costa Filho, R.N.
  • Almeida, M.P.
  • Moreira, J.E.
  • Andrade, J.S.

Abstract

The proportional elections held in Brazil in 1998 and 2002 display identical statistical signatures. In particular, the distribution of votes among candidates includes a power-law regime. We suggest that the rationale behind this robust scaling invariance is a multiplicative process in which the voter's choice for a candidate is governed by a product of probabilities.

Suggested Citation

  • Costa Filho, R.N. & Almeida, M.P. & Moreira, J.E. & Andrade, J.S., 2003. "Brazilian elections: voting for a scaling democracy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 322(C), pages 698-700.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:322:y:2003:i:c:p:698-700
    DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4371(02)01823-X
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Volker Hösel & Johannes Müller & Aurelien Tellier, 2019. "Universality of neutral models: decision process in politics," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 5(1), pages 1-8, December.
    2. H Hernández-Saldaña, 2013. "Results on Three Predictions for July 2012 Federal Elections in Mexico Based on Past Regularities," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(12), pages 1-8, December.
    3. Cardoso, M. & Souza, J.T.G. & Neli, R.R. & Souza, W.E., 2023. "Scaling laws from Brazilian state election results point out that, the candidate’s chance to win increases by investing more campaign efforts in smaller electorates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 619(C).
    4. Galesic, Mirta & Stein, D.L., 2019. "Statistical physics models of belief dynamics: Theory and empirical tests," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 519(C), pages 275-294.
    5. Cardoso, M. & Silva, L.M.C. & Neli, R.R. & Souza, W.E., 2022. "Electorate involvement disorder: Universal relationship between the amplitude and electorate size in second round of Brazilian Presidential Election," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 591(C).
    6. Anghel Negriu & Cyrille Piatecki, 2012. "On the performance of voting systems in spatial voting simulations," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 7(1), pages 63-77, May.
    7. Braha, Dan & de Aguiar, Marcus A. M., 2018. "Voting contagion: Modeling and analysis of a century of U.S. presidential elections," SocArXiv mzxnr, Center for Open Science.
    8. Hygor Piaget M Melo & Saulo D S Reis & André A Moreira & Hernán A Makse & José S Andrade Jr., 2018. "The price of a vote: Diseconomy in proportional elections," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(8), pages 1-13, August.
    9. Hygor P M Melo & Nuno A M Araújo & José S Andrade Jr., 2019. "Fundraising and vote distribution: A non-equilibrium statistical approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(10), pages 1-9, October.
    10. Cardoso, M. & Afonso, L.H.D. & Neli, R.R. & Souza, W.E., 2024. "Simplified model relating blank and null votes to voter turnout from Brazilian state elections results," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 645(C).
    11. Cardoso, M. & Mendes, R.S. & Souza, J.T.G. & Ribeiro, H.V., 2020. "Gender difference in candidature processes for Brazilian elections," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 537(C).

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