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Empirical investigation of stock price dynamics in an emerging market

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  • Palágyi, Zoltán
  • Mantegna, Rosario N.

Abstract

We study the development of an emerging market – the Budapest Stock Exchange – by investigating the time evolution of some statistical properties of heavily traded stocks. Moving quarter by quarter over a period of two and a half years we analyze the scaling properties of the standard deviation of intra-day log-price changes. We observe scaling using both seconds and ticks as units of time. For the investigated stocks a Levy shape is a good approximation to the probability density function of tick-by-tick log-price changes in each quarter: the index of the distribution follows an increasing trend, suggesting it could be used as a measure of market efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • Palágyi, Zoltán & Mantegna, Rosario N., 1999. "Empirical investigation of stock price dynamics in an emerging market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 269(1), pages 132-139.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:269:y:1999:i:1:p:132-139
    DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4371(99)00087-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Vogl, Markus, 2023. "Hurst exponent dynamics of S&P 500 returns: Implications for market efficiency, long memory, multifractality and financial crises predictability by application of a nonlinear dynamics analysis framewo," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    2. Greg Hannsgen, 2011. "Infinite-variance, Alpha-stable Shocks in Monetary SVAR: Final Working Paper Version," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_682, Levy Economics Institute.
    3. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2020. "Multiscale characteristics of the emerging global cryptocurrency market," Papers 2010.15403, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    4. Janecskó, Balázs, 2000. "Idősor-modellezés és opcióárazás csonkolt Lévy-eloszlással [Time-series modelling and option pricing with a truncated Lévy distribution]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 899-917.

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    Keywords

    Econophysics; Stable processes;

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