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Low-order variability diagrams for short-range correlation evidence in financial data: BGL-USD exchange rate, Dow Jones industrial average, gold ounce price

Author

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  • Ivanova, K
  • Ausloos, M

Abstract

A method to sort out short-range correlations and decorrelations in financial data is tested on three typical sets: the Bulgarian Lev-USA Dollar (BGL/USD) exchange rate, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Gold ounce price. The method makes use of the so-called variability diagram technique. Three toys are used as models in order to understand features. Our findings indicate that some predictability can be found at short-range time intervals.

Suggested Citation

  • Ivanova, K & Ausloos, M, 1999. "Low-order variability diagrams for short-range correlation evidence in financial data: BGL-USD exchange rate, Dow Jones industrial average, gold ounce price," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 265(1), pages 279-291.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:265:y:1999:i:1:p:279-291
    DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4371(98)00562-7
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Roy Cerqueti & Giulia Rotundo, 2015. "A review of aggregation techniques for agent-based models: understanding the presence of long-term memory," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1693-1717, July.
    2. de Souza, Jeferson & Duarte Queirós, Sílvio M., 2009. "Effective multifractal features of high-frequency price fluctuations time series and ℓ-variability diagrams," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 2512-2521.
    3. Rosella Castellano & Roy Cerqueti & Giulia Rotundo, 2020. "Exploring the financial risk of a temperature index: a fractional integrated approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 284(1), pages 225-242, January.
    4. Un, Kuok Sin & Ausloos, Marcel, 2022. "Equity premium prediction: Taking into account the role of long, even asymmetric, swings in stock market behavior," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 608(P1).
    5. Marcel Ausloos, 2013. "Econophysics: Comments on a Few Applications, Successes, Methods and Models," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 2(2), pages 101-115, July.

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