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Trading down and the business cycle

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  • Jaimovich, Nir
  • Rebelo, Sergio
  • Wong, Arlene

Abstract

We document two facts. First, during the Great Recession, consumers traded down in the quality of the goods and services they consumed. Second, the production of low-quality goods is less labor intensive than that of high-quality goods. When households traded down, labor demand fell, increasing the recession’s severity. We find that the trading-down phenomenon accounts for a substantial fraction of the decline in U.S. employment in the recent recession. We show that embedding quality choice in a business-cycle model improves the model’s amplification and comovement properties.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaimovich, Nir & Rebelo, Sergio & Wong, Arlene, 2019. "Trading down and the business cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 96-121.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:102:y:2019:i:c:p:96-121
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.026
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Recessions; Quality choice; Business cycles;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates

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