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The consumption–investment decision of a prospect theory household: A two-period model

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  • Hlouskova, Jaroslava
  • Fortin, Ines
  • Tsigaris, Panagiotis

Abstract

This study extends the literature on portfolio choice under prospect theory preferences by introducing a two-period life cycle model, where the sufficiently loss averse household decides on optimal consumption and investment in a portfolio with one risk-free and one risky asset. The optimal solution depends primarily on whether the household’s present value of the consumption reference levels is below, equal to, or above the present value of its endowment income. Reference levels below the endowment income are associated with the self-enhancement motive. In this case, the household avoids relative losses in consumption in any present or future state of nature (good or bad). As a result the degree of loss aversion does not directly affect optimal consumption and risk taking activity. Reference levels equal to the endowment income are associated with the belonging motive. An example would be a household comparing to others that belong to the same social class. In this case the household’s optimal consumption is the reference consumption and the household will not invest in the risky asset. Finally, reference levels above the endowment income are associated with the self-improvement motive (or high aspirations). For such high reference levels, households cannot avoid experiencing a relative loss in consumption, either now or in the future. As a result, loss aversion directly affects consumption and risky investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Hlouskova, Jaroslava & Fortin, Ines & Tsigaris, Panagiotis, 2017. "The consumption–investment decision of a prospect theory household: A two-period model," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 74-89.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:mateco:v:70:y:2017:i:c:p:74-89
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmateco.2017.02.003
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    2. Hlouskova, Jaroslava & Tsigaris, Panagiotis, 2020. "Capital income taxation under full loss offset provisions of a prospect theory investor," IHS Working Paper Series 11, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    3. Fortin, Ines & Hlouskova, Jaroslava, 2024. "Prospect theory and asset allocation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 214-240.
    4. Sheng, Jiliang & Xu, Si & An, Yunbi & Yang, Jun, 2021. "Dynamic portfolio strategy by loss-averse fund managers facing performance-induced fund flows," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).

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