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Do shocks to electricity consumption revert to its equilibrium? Evidence from Indian states

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  • Akram, Vaseem
  • Sahoo, Pradipta Kumar
  • Jangam, Bhushan Praveen

Abstract

This study investigates the stationary properties of electricity consumption at the aggregate and user-group levels (agricultural, industrial, commercial, domestic, and miscellaneous) for 18 Indian states over the period 1971-72 to 2015–16. Our analysis employs the two-step Lagrange Multiplier (LM) and the three-step Residual Augmented Least Square Lagrange Multiplier (RALS-LM) unit root tests. The results obtained suggest evidence of stationarity at aggregate and user groups in most states. The findings infer that shocks to electricity consumption in the Indian states have only a temporary effect. These results suggest that electricity demand can be modelled for forecasting and policymaking.

Suggested Citation

  • Akram, Vaseem & Sahoo, Pradipta Kumar & Jangam, Bhushan Praveen, 2019. "Do shocks to electricity consumption revert to its equilibrium? Evidence from Indian states," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:juipol:v:61:y:2019:i:c:s0957178719303303
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2019.100977
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    Cited by:

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    3. Erdogan, Sinan & Akalin, Guray & Oypan, Oguz, 2020. "Are shocks to disaggregated energy consumption transitory or permanent in Turkey? New evidence from fourier panel KPSS test," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    4. Samuel John E. Parreño, 2024. "Assessing the Stationarity of Per Capita Electricity Consumption: Time Series Analysis in ASEAN Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 46-52, March.
    5. Tran, Nhan Dang & Sahu, Naresh Chandra & Le, Chon Van, 2024. "Evidence on the stationarity of electricity consumption in India," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    6. Schneider, Nicolas & Strielkowski, Wadim, 2023. "Modelling the unit root properties of electricity data—A general note on time-domain applications," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 618(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Electricity consumption; LM and RALS-LM unit root tests; Indian states;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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