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A cointegrating polynomial regression analysis of the material kuznets curve hypothesis

Author

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  • Grabarczyk, Peter
  • Wagner, Martin
  • Frondel, Manuel
  • Sommer, Stephan

Abstract

This paper investigates the Material Kuznets Curve (MKC) hypothesis, postulating an inverted U-shaped relationship between a country's level of economic development and its intensity of material use, by means of nonlinear cointegration analysis. We use consumption data for aluminum, lead and zinc for eight OECD countries spanning from 1900 to 2006 and employ the tests and estimation techniques for nonlinear cointegration developed by Saikkonen and Choi (2004), Wagner (2013) as well as Wagner and Hong (2016). We find evidence for the prevalence of a cointegrating quadratic MKC for about half of the country-metal pairs.

Suggested Citation

  • Grabarczyk, Peter & Wagner, Martin & Frondel, Manuel & Sommer, Stephan, 2018. "A cointegrating polynomial regression analysis of the material kuznets curve hypothesis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 236-245.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:57:y:2018:i:c:p:236-245
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2018.03.009
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Xin, Yongrong & Ajaz, Tahseen & Shahzad, Mohsin & Luo, Jia, 2023. "How productive capacities influence trade-adjusted resources consumption in China: Testing resource-based EKC," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Fabian Knorre & Martin Wagner & Maximilian Grupe, 2021. "Monitoring Cointegrating Polynomial Regressions: Theory and Application to the Environmental Kuznets Curves for Carbon and Sulfur Dioxide Emissions," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-35, March.
    3. Wagner, Martin, 2023. "Fully modified least squares estimation and inference for systems of cointegrating polynomial regressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    4. Olimpia Neagu, 2019. "The Link between Economic Complexity and Carbon Emissions in the European Union Countries: A Model Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-27, August.
    5. Martin Wagner, 2023. "Residual-based cointegration and non-cointegration tests for cointegrating polynomial regressions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 1-31, July.
    6. Razzaq, Asif & Ajaz, Tahseen & Li, Jing Claire & Irfan, Muhammad & Suksatan, Wanich, 2021. "Investigating the asymmetric linkages between infrastructure development, green innovation, and consumption-based material footprint: Novel empirical estimations from highly resource-consuming economi," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    7. Yang, Xue & Zhang, Chao & Li, Xinyi & Cao, Zhi & Wang, Peng & Wang, Heming & Liu, Gang & Xia, Ziqian & Zhu, Dajian & Chen, Wei-Qiang, 2024. "Multinational dynamic steel cycle analysis reveals sequential decoupling between material use and economic growth," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    8. Ulucak, Recep & Koçak, Emrah & Erdoğan, Seyfettin & Kassouri, Yacouba, 2020. "Investigating the non-linear effects of globalization on material consumption in the EU countries: Evidence from PSTR estimation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    9. Kassouri, Yacouba & Alola, Andrew Adewale & Savaş, Savaş, 2021. "The dynamics of material consumption in phases of the economic cycle for selected emerging countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    10. Byron Quito & María de la Cruz del Río-Rama & Marta Peris-Ortiz & José Álvarez-García, 2024. "Spatial-Temporal Determinants of Income Inequality in the Cantons of Ecuador between 2010 and 2019: a Spatial Panel Econometric Analysis," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 7744-7768, June.
    11. Wagner, Martin & Grabarczyk, Peter & Hong, Seung Hyun, 2020. "Fully modified OLS estimation and inference for seemingly unrelated cointegrating polynomial regressions and the environmental Kuznets curve for carbon dioxide emissions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 216-255.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Intensity of use; Material Kuznets curve; Metals; Nonlinear cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • Q32 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development

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