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Balance sheet expansionary policies in the euro area: Macroeconomic impacts and a vulnerable versus non-vulnerable comparison

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  • Gomes-Pereira, Francisco

Abstract

This paper investigates the impacts and heterogeneity of the ECB's large-scale asset purchasing programs of sovereign securities on real GDP, inflation, long-term sovereign bond yields, systemic stress, and the unemployment rate. A structural Bayesian VAR model with six endogenous variables was estimated for 11 euro area countries over the period 2012:M1 to 2023:M12. To provide robustness to the results, a structural panel BVAR model is estimated, enabling a straightforward comparison of impulse responses of vulnerable and non-vulnerable countries. The results suggest that the magnitudes of impulse responses were more favorable in countries that were more economically and financially vulnerable. These findings underscore that financial and economic distress was a source of heterogeneity in the responses to large scale asset purchases within the euro area.

Suggested Citation

  • Gomes-Pereira, Francisco, 2024. "Balance sheet expansionary policies in the euro area: Macroeconomic impacts and a vulnerable versus non-vulnerable comparison," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:joecas:v:30:y:2024:i:c:s170349492400015x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2024.e00366
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    Cited by:

    1. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2024. "Geopolitical risks and energy uncertainty: Implications for global and domestic energy prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ECB; Monetary policy; Unconventional monetary policy; BVAR; Euro area;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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