IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/joecag/v22y2022ics2212828x22000019.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Alcohol consumption as a predictor of mortality and life expectancy: Evidence from older Chinese males

Author

Listed:
  • Yu, Dandan
  • Lu, Bei
  • Piggott, John

Abstract

Alcohol consumption has significant health implications. This study estimates the impact of drinking on all-cause mortality, total life expectancy, and disability-free life expectancy for Chinese males aged 65 and above. Using a nationally representative sample from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS), we compare mortality risks in Cox regressions among lifelong abstainers, former drinkers, and current drinkers. We find that current male drinkers had lower risks of death than lifelong abstainers in general and the differences were statistically significant among those aged between 68 and 87 years. The interpolated Markov chain (IMaCh) approach is then adopted to calculate life expectancies. After adjustment for socioeconomic factors, we find that an average current male drinker at age 65 could expect to live 18.0 (95% CI: 17.4–18.6) years in total, compared with 16.3 (95% CI: 15.6–17.0) years for lifelong abstainers. His disability-free life expectancy at age 65 was about 16.1 (95% CI: 15.6–16.7) years, longer than the 14.2 (95% CI: 13.6–14.9) years for lifelong abstainers. Our findings are relevant for both social protection policy design and life insurance business practice.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu, Dandan & Lu, Bei & Piggott, John, 2022. "Alcohol consumption as a predictor of mortality and life expectancy: Evidence from older Chinese males," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:joecag:v:22:y:2022:i:c:s2212828x22000019
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2022.100368
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212828X22000019
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jeoa.2022.100368?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhongwei Zhao & Hongbo Jia & Mengxue Chen, 2020. "Major Socioeconomic Driving Forces of Improving Population Health in China: 1978–2018," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 46(4), pages 643-676, December.
    2. Eileen Crimmins & Mark Hayward & Aaron Hagedorn & Yasuhiko Saito & Nicolas Brouard, 2009. "Change in disability-free life expectancy for Americans 70 years old and older," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 46(3), pages 627-646, August.
    3. repec:cai:popine:popu_p2001_13n1_0116 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Gu, Danan & Dupre, Matthew E. & Warner, David F. & Zeng, Yi, 2009. "Changing health status and health expectancies among older adults in China: Gender differences from 1992 to 2002," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 68(12), pages 2170-2179, June.
    5. Agnes Lievre & Nicolas Brouard & Christopher Heathcote, 2003. "The Estimation Of Health Expectancies From Cross-Longitudinal Surveys," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 211-248.
    6. Hanewald, Katja & Li, Han & Shao, Adam W., 2019. "Modelling multi-state health transitions in China: a generalised linear model with time trends," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(1), pages 145-165, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kossova, T. & Kossova, E. & Sheluntsova, M., 2023. "Estimating effect of healthcare expenditures and alcohol overconsumption on the health of the Russian population," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 60(3), pages 66-78.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:idg:wpaper:awltfxmuxmqcvuzmm9ui is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Cristina Giudici & Silvia Polettini & Alessandra Rose & Nicolas Brouard, 2019. "Which Aspects of Elderly Living Conditions are Important to Predict Mortality? The Complex Role of Family Ties at Home and in Institutions," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(3), pages 1255-1283, April.
    3. Rainer Kotschy & David E. Bloom & Andrew J. Scott & Rainer Franz Kotschy, 2024. "On the Limits of Chronological Age," CESifo Working Paper Series 11451, CESifo.
    4. Irene Albarrán Lozano & Pablo J. Alonso-González & José Javier Núñez-Velázquez, 2021. "Estimation of Life Expectancy for Dependent Population in a Multi-State Context," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-13, October.
    5. David Blake & Marco Morales & Enrico Biffis & Yijia Lin & Andreas Milidonis, 2017. "Special Edition: Longevity 10 – The Tenth International Longevity Risk and Capital Markets Solutions Conference," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 84(S1), pages 515-532, April.
    6. Mark Hayward & Robert Hummer & Chi-Tsun Chiu & César González-González & Rebeca Wong, 2014. "Does the Hispanic Paradox in U.S. Adult Mortality Extend to Disability?," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 33(1), pages 81-96, February.
    7. Deng, Yuanyuan & Fang, Hanming & Hanewald, Katja & Wu, Shang, 2023. "Delay the Pension Age or Adjust the Pension Benefit? Implications for Labor Supply and Individual Welfare in China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 1192-1215.
    8. Michel Guillot & Yan Yu, 2009. "Estimating health expectancies from two cross-sectional surveys," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 21(17), pages 503-534.
    9. Chen, An & Chen, Yusha & Xu, Xian, 2022. "Care-dependent tontines," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 69-89.
    10. David M. Cutler & Kaushik Ghosh & Mary Beth Landrum, 2014. "Evidence for Significant Compression of Morbidity in the Elderly U.S. Population," NBER Chapters, in: Discoveries in the Economics of Aging, pages 21-51, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Timothy Riffe & Iñaki Permanyer & Rustam Tursun-Zade & Magdalena Muszynska-Spielauer, 2024. "Calculating the joint distribution of years lived in good and poor health," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2024-013, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    12. Chia-Chun Liang & Wei-Chung Hsu & Yao-Te Tsai & Shao-Jen Weng & Ho-Pang Yang & Shih-Chia Liu, 2020. "Healthy Life Expectancies by the Effects of Hypertension and Diabetes for the Middle Aged and Over in Taiwan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-9, June.
    13. Hal Caswell & Silke van Daalen, 2021. "Healthy longevity from incidence-based models: More kinds of health than stars in the sky," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 45(13), pages 397-452.
    14. Cristina Giudici & Maria Arezzo & Nicolas Brouard, 2013. "Estimating health expectancy in presence of missing data: an application using HID survey," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 22(4), pages 517-534, November.
    15. Kokoreva, Maria S. (Кокорева, Мария) & Stepanova, Anastasia N. (Степанова, Анастасия) & Karnoukhova, Elena V. (Карноухова, Елена), 2016. "What We Do not Know about the Ownership Structure of the Largest U.S. Companies? [Чего Мы Не Знаем О Структуре Собственности Крупнейших Компаний Сша?]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 6, pages 36-59, December.
    16. Ezra Fishman, 2017. "Risk of Developing Dementia at Older Ages in the United States," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(5), pages 1897-1919, October.
    17. Sandrine Juin, 2016. "Care for dependent elderly people : dealing with health and financing issues," Erudite Ph.D Dissertations, Erudite, number ph16-02 edited by Thomas Barnay.
    18. Holendro Singh Chungkham & Robin S. Högnäs & Jenny Head & Paola Zaninotto & Hugo Westerlund, 2023. "Estimating Working Life Expectancy: A Comparison of Multistate Models," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, May.
    19. Bairoliya, Neha & Canning, David & Miller, Ray & Saxena, Akshar, 2018. "The macroeconomic and welfare implications of rural health insurance and pension reforms in China," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 71-92.
    20. Ruby Yu & Jason Leung & C. M. Lum & T. W. Auyeung & Jenny S. W. Lee & Ruby Lee & Jean Woo, 2019. "A comparison of health expectancies over 10 years: implications for elderly service needs in Hong Kong," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 64(5), pages 731-742, June.
    21. Morciano, Marcello & Hancock, Ruth M. & Pudney, Stephen E., 2015. "Birth-cohort trends in older-age functional disability and their relationship with socio-economic status: Evidence from a pooling of repeated cross-sectional population-based studies for the UK," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 136, pages 1-9.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:joecag:v:22:y:2022:i:c:s2212828x22000019. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/the-journal-of-the-economics-of-ageing .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.