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The random walk hypothesis of consumption and time aggregation

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  • Haug, Alfred A.

Abstract

The random walk hypothesis of consumption is tested after accounting for time aggregation bias. Lags on income and lags on a measure of wealth do not enter the regression significantly. Also, additional lags on consumption are not significant. No ARCH effects are present in the consumption residuals, and normality of the consumption disturbances cannot be rejected with a Jarque-Bera test. The life cycle-permanent income model under rational expectations is therefore not rejected by the data if one accounts for the time aggregation bias.

Suggested Citation

  • Haug, Alfred A., 1991. "The random walk hypothesis of consumption and time aggregation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 691-700.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:13:y:1991:i:4:p:691-700
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    Cited by:

    1. John Baffore-Bonnie & Mohammed Khayum, 1997. "Economic Development, Life-Cycle Consumption and Planning Hirizon," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 17-37.
    2. Oguz Asirim, 1996. "Alternative Theories of Consumption and an Application to the Turkish Economy," Discussion Papers 9604, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    3. Tolar, Martin Michael, 1997. "A behavioral model of nondurable consumption expenditure," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 291-302.
    4. Yamin Ahmad & Ivan Paya, 2014. "Temporal Aggregation of Random Walk Processes and Implications for Asset Prices," Working Papers 14-01, UW-Whitewater, Department of Economics.
    5. Anindya S. Chakrabarti & Arnab Chatterjee & Tushar Nandi & Asim Ghosh & Anirban Chakraborti, 2018. "Quantifying invariant features of within-group inequality in consumption across groups," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 13(3), pages 469-490, October.
    6. Strazicich, Mark C., 1997. "Does Tax Smoothing Differ by the Level of Government? Time Series Evidence from Canada and the United States," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 305-326, April.
    7. Ahmad Yamin S & Paya Ivan, 2020. "Temporal aggregation of random walk processes and implications for economic analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(2), pages 1-20, April.

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