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Delay differential neoclassical growth model

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  • Matsumoto, Akio
  • Szidarovszky, Ferenc

Abstract

This paper develops a continuous-time neoclassical growth model with time delay. Despite of its simple structure, the resulting dynamic system shows emergence of erratic fluctuations in the capital accumulation process when the production function is unimodal and the delay in production is explicitly considered. It complements the seminal paper of Day (1982) in which a discrete-time neoclassical growth model displayed chaotic behavior for some configurations of the propensity to save, the growth rate of labor and the capital depreciation rate. Our analysis has at least two implications. First, nonlinearities and delay matter for a birth of aperiodic fluctuations of national product in the continuous-time model. Second, comparing the effects caused by two different time delays, fixed and continuously distributed time delays, reveals that the continuous-time model with the former can generate complex fluctuations while the one with the latter generates simple fluctuations when the shape parameter of the density function is small and complex fluctuations when large.

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  • Matsumoto, Akio & Szidarovszky, Ferenc, 2011. "Delay differential neoclassical growth model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 78(3), pages 272-289, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:78:y:2011:i:3:p:272-289
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    2. T. W. Swan, 1956. "ECONOMIC GROWTH and CAPITAL ACCUMULATION," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 32(2), pages 334-361, November.
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    4. Richard H. Day, 1994. "Complex Economic Dynamics - Vol. 1: An Introduction to Dynamical Systems and Market Mechanisms," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262041413, April.
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    6. Day, Richard H, 1982. "Irregular Growth Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 72(3), pages 406-414, June.
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    1. Akio Matsumoto & Ferenc Szidarovszky, 2013. "Asymptotic Behavior of a Delay Differential Neoclassical Growth Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-16, January.
    2. He, Xue-Zhong & Li, Kai, 2012. "Heterogeneous beliefs and adaptive behaviour in a continuous-time asset price model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 973-987.
    3. Martina BOBALOVA & Veronika NOVOTNA, 2021. "Modeling Of Time Delayed Processes In Business Economics," Proceedings of the INTERNATIONAL MANAGEMENT CONFERENCE, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 15(1), pages 79-89, November.
    4. Ishtiaq Ali & Sami Ullah Khan, 2022. "Asymptotic Behavior of Three Connected Stochastic Delay Neoclassical Growth Systems Using Spectral Technique," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(19), pages 1-15, October.
    5. Culda, Loredana Camelia & Kaslik, Eva & Neamţu, Mihaela, 2022. "Stability and bifurcations in a general Cournot duopoly model with distributed time delays," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    6. Gori, Luca & Guerrini, Luca & Sodini, Mauro, 2015. "A continuous time Cournot duopoly with delays," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 166-177.
    7. Kaslik, Eva & Neamţu, Mihaela, 2020. "Dynamics of a tourism sustainability model with distributed delay," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    8. Shaikhet, Leonid, 2023. "Stability of equilibria of exponential type system of three differential equations under stochastic perturbations," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 105-117.
    9. Akio Matsumoto & Ferenc Szidarovszky, 2021. "Delay two-sector economic growth model with a Cobb–Douglas production function," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(1), pages 341-358, June.
    10. Matsumoto, Akio & Szidarovszky, Ferenc, 2023. "Delay Solow Model with a Normalized CES Production Function," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 305-323.
    11. Eva Kaslik & Mihaela Neamţu & Loredana Flavia Vesa, 2021. "Global Stability Analysis of a Five-Dimensional Unemployment Model with Distributed Delay," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(23), pages 1-15, November.
    12. Michael Donadelli & Vahid Mojtahed & Antonio Paradiso, 2015. "Technological Progress, Investment Frictions and Business Cycle: New Insights from a Neoclassical Growth Model," Working Papers LuissLab 15119, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
    13. Fausto Cavalli & Alessandra Mainini & Daniela Visetti, 2024. "The role of taxation in an integrated economic-environmental model: a dynamical analysis," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 47(2), pages 597-626, December.
    14. Franke, Reiner, 2018. "Reviving Kalecki’s business cycle model in a growth context," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 157-171.
    15. Kaslik, Eva & Neamţu, Mihaela & Vesa, Loredana Flavia, 2021. "Global stability analysis of an unemployment model with distributed delay," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 535-546.
    16. Fausto Cavalli & Alessandra Mainini & Daniela Visetti, 2024. "The role of taxation in an integrated economic-environmental model: a dynamical analysis," Working Papers 530, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics.
    17. Matsumoto, Akio & Szidarovszky, Ferenc, 2012. "Nonlinear delay monopoly with bounded rationality," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 507-519.

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