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The value of international political connections: Evidence from Trump's 2016 surprise election

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  • Fink, Alexander
  • Stahl, Jörg R.

Abstract

We investigate the value of international political connections by exploiting the 2016 surprise election of Donald Trump as U.S. president. To identify political connections, we compile a dataset of campaign contributions of U.S. subsidiaries of multinational companies headquartered outside of the U.S. We match these firms with comparable foreign firms that did not make any U.S. campaign contributions. We find that following the 2016 elections the abnormal equity returns for foreign firms that contributed considerably more to Republicans than to Democrats were about 2 percentage points higher than for their non-contributing peers. The results suggest that cross-border political connections can be valuable firm assets.

Suggested Citation

  • Fink, Alexander & Stahl, Jörg R., 2020. "The value of international political connections: Evidence from Trump's 2016 surprise election," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 691-700.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:176:y:2020:i:c:p:691-700
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2020.03.034
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    1. repec:hal:journl:hal-04662505 is not listed on IDEAS
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    3. Kale, Arati & Kale, Devendra, 2023. "Do exogenous economic crises change investors’ response to earnings announcements?: A detailed review using the data from COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    4. Ambrocio, Gene & Gu, Xian & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2022. "Political ties and raising capital in global markets: Evidence from Yankee bonds," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International political connections; Campaign contributions; Event study; U.S. presidential elections 2016;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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