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Credit policies, macroeconomic stability and welfare: The case of China

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  • Minetti, Raoul
  • Peng, Tao

Abstract

Using a new Keynesian DSGE model with credit constraints, we study the impact on macroeconomic volatility of a macroprudential credit policy of the type implemented by the Central Bank of China. We find that the countercyclical credit policy plays a non-negligible role in stabilizing the real economy, and that this effect is distinctly more pronounced when credit conditions are looser. By means of a second-order approximation method, we show that the macroprudential credit policy can significantly boost welfare, benefiting the entrepreneurial sector more than the household sector. The results can yield insights for the institutional and policy setting of China and other emerging countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Minetti, Raoul & Peng, Tao, 2018. "Credit policies, macroeconomic stability and welfare: The case of China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 35-52.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jcecon:v:46:y:2018:i:1:p:35-52
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2016.11.005
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    Cited by:

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    2. Lim, King Yoong & Liu, Chunping & Zhang, Shuonan, 2024. "Optimal central banking policies: Envisioning the post-digital yuan economy with loan prime rate-setting," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
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    4. Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2020. "The Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies for the South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 368-404, September.
    5. Liu, Guangling & Molise, Thabang, 2021. "The effectiveness of the counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulation: Generic versus sector-specific rules," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 270-288.
    6. Ge, Xinyu & Li, Xiao-Lin & Li, Yong & Liu, Yan, 2022. "The driving forces of China's business cycles: Evidence from an estimated DSGE model with housing and banking," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    7. Ma, Yong & Lv, Lin, 2022. "Money, debt, and the effects of fiscal stimulus," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 152-178.
    8. Minetti, Raoul & Peng, Tao & Jiang, Tao, 2019. "Keeping up with the Zhangs and house price dynamics in China," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit policy; Macroeconomic volatility; Welfare;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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