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The timing of 52-week high price and momentum

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  • Bhootra, Ajay
  • Hur, Jungshik

Abstract

We propose a new momentum strategy based on the timing of a stock’s 52-week high price. We find that the stocks that attained the 52-week high price in the recent past significantly outperform the stocks that attained the 52-week high price in the distant past. In particular, the top 10% of the stocks with the most recent 52-week high price outperform the bottom 10% of the stocks with most distant 52-week high price by 0.70% per month. Further, conditioning on the recency of 52-week high price significantly increases the profitability of momentum strategy based on the nearness of current price to the 52-week high price. Specifically, the average monthly return of this strategy is about twice as large for stocks with recent 52-week high price as compared with stocks with distant 52-week high price.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhootra, Ajay & Hur, Jungshik, 2013. "The timing of 52-week high price and momentum," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 3773-3782.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:10:p:3773-3782
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.05.025
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    Cited by:

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    6. Shin, Heejeong & Park, Sorah, 2018. "Do foreign investors mitigate anchoring bias in stock market? Evidence based on post-earnings announcement drift," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 224-240.
    7. Yang, Yunlin & Gebka, Bartosz & Hudson, Robert, 2019. "Momentum effects in China: A review of the literature and an empirical explanation of prevailing controversies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 78-101.
    8. George, Thomas J. & Hwang, Chuan-Yang & Li, Yuan, 2018. "The 52-week high, q-theory, and the cross section of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 148-163.
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    11. Wang, Zi-Mei & Lien, Donald, 2023. "Limited attention, salient anchor, and the modified MAX effect: Evidence from Taiwan’s stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    12. Byun, Suk-Joon & Goh, Jihoon & Kim, Da-Hea, 2020. "The role of psychological barriers in lottery-related anomalies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    13. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, June.
    14. Hao, Ying & Chu, Hsiang-Hui & Ho, Keng-Yu & Ko, Kuan-Cheng, 2016. "The 52-week high and momentum in the Taiwan stock market: Anchoring or recency biases?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 121-138.
    15. Jared Egginton & Jungshik Hur & Vivek Singh, 2019. "The impact of elasticity on disposition effect driven momentum, substitutability, size, and January seasonality," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 759-780, April.
    16. Julio Lobao & Joao Meira Fernandes, 2017. "The 52-Week High and Momentum Investing: Implications for Asset Pricing Models," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 18(2), pages 349-376, November.
    17. Hur, Jungshik & Singh, Vivek, 2019. "How do disposition effect and anchoring bias interact to impact momentum in stock returns?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 238-256.
    18. Christopher Riley & Barbara Summers & Darren Duxbury, 2020. "Capital Gains Overhang with a Dynamic Reference Point," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(10), pages 4726-4745, October.
    19. Ran, Rong & Li, Cheng & Ko, Kuan-Cheng & Yang, Nien-Tzu, 2022. "State-dependent psychological anchors and momentum," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    20. Jungshik Hur & Vivek Singh, 2022. "The role of investor attention in idiosyncratic volatility puzzle and new results," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 409-434, January.
    21. Mei‐Chen Lin, 2018. "The effect of 52 week highs and lows on analyst stock recommendations," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 375-422, November.
    22. Sherif, Mohamed & Chen, Jiaqi, 2019. "The quality of governance and momentum profits: International evidence," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(5).
    23. repec:cuf:journl:y:2017:v:18:i:1:lobao is not listed on IDEAS
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    25. Tzu‐Pu Chang, 2021. "Buy Low and Sell High: The 52‐Week Price Range and Predictability of Returns," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 336-344, March.

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