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The order flow of discount certificates and issuer pricing behavior

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  • Baule, Rainer

Abstract

We analyze the order flow of discount certificates, its dependence on product age, and the implications for issuer pricing behavior. Based on a unique data set of exchange trades and issuer quotes, we find that for tax reasons investors prefer to buy products that mature in just over 1Â year from the date of purchase. Furthermore, they tend to sell products back preferably close to maturity. These patterns in the trade direction allow us to separate the issuer pricing behavior from (i) the life cycle and (ii) the order flow. We find evidence that 7 out of 11 issuers anticipate the order flow and price in an additional margin in phases of positive expected net sales.

Suggested Citation

  • Baule, Rainer, 2011. "The order flow of discount certificates and issuer pricing behavior," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 3120-3133, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:11:p:3120-3133
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    1. Oliver Entrop & Michael McKenzie & Marco Wilkens & Christoph Winkler, 2016. "The performance of individual investors in structured financial products," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 569-604, April.
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    3. Janis Bauer & Holger Fink & Eva Stoller, 2020. "Are Issuer Margins Fairly Stated? Evidence from the Issuer Estimated Value for Retail Structured Products," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-23, September.
    4. Oliver Entrop & Georg Fischer, 2020. "Hedging costs and joint determinants of premiums and spreads in structured financial products," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1049-1071, July.
    5. Schertler, Andrea, 2016. "Pricing effects when competitors arrive: The case of discount certificates in Germany," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 84-99.
    6. Olaf Korn & Paolo Krischak & Erik Theissen, 2019. "Illiquidity transmission from spot to futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(10), pages 1228-1249, October.
    7. Fischer, Georg, 2019. "How dynamic hedging affects stock price movements: Evidence from German option and certificate markets," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Betriebswirtschaftliche Reihe B-35-19, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    8. Matthias Pelster & Andrea Schertler, 2019. "Pricing and issuance dependencies in structured financial product portfolios," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 342-365, March.
    9. Vokata, Petra, 2021. "Engineering lemons," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 737-755.
    10. Baule, Rainer & Münchhalfen, Patrick & Shkel, David & Tallau, Christian, 2023. "Fair-washing in the market for structured retail products? Voluntary self-regulation versus government regulation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    11. Schertler, Andrea, 2021. "Listing of classical options and the pricing of discount certificates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    12. Stephan Meyer & Sebastian Schroff & Christof Weinhardt, 2014. "(Un)skilled leveraged trading of retail investors," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 28(2), pages 111-138, May.
    13. Entrop, Oliver & Fischer, Georg & McKenzie, Michael & Wilkens, Marco & Winkler, Christoph, 2016. "How does pricing affect investors’ product choice? Evidence from the market for discount certificates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 195-215.
    14. Andrea Schertler & Saskia Stoerch, 2018. "Warrant price responses to credit spread changes: Fact or fiction?," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(3), pages 206-219, July.
    15. Baller, Stefanie & Entrop, Oliver & McKenzie, Michael & Wilkens, Marco, 2016. "Market makers’ optimal price-setting policy for exchange-traded certificates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 206-226.
    16. Baule, Rainer & Shkel, David, 2021. "Model risk and model choice in the case of barrier options and bonus certificates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    17. Rainer Baule & Bart Frijns & Milena E. Tieves, 2018. "Volatility discovery and volatility quoting on markets for options and warrants," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 758-774, July.
    18. Marc Arnold & Dustin Schuette & Alexander Wagner, 2021. "Neglected Risk in Financial Innovation: Evidence from Structured Product Counterparty Exposure," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 27(2), pages 287-325, March.
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