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Voluntary disclosure and the cost of equity capital: Evidence from management earnings forecasts

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  • Kim, Joung W.
  • Shi, Yaqi

Abstract

This paper examines the directional effects of management earnings forecasts on the cost of equity capital. We find that forecasters of bad news experience a significant increase in the cost of equity capital in the month after their disclosure. Conversely, the cost of equity capital for good news forecasters does not change significantly in the same period. We also indicate that the magnitude of changes in the cost of capital for good news forecasters is significantly lower than that for bad news forecasters and non-forecasters, which suggests that investors may view good news forecasts less credible. Finally, we show that the effect of the subsequent earnings announcement on the cost of equity capital is preempted by the management forecasts for bad news firms, and that the combined effects of the management earnings forecasts and the earnings announcement are not significant for both good news and bad news forecasters. Our paper contributes to the literature by adding evidence on directional effects of voluntary disclosures and on long-term economic consequences of management earnings forecasts.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Joung W. & Shi, Yaqi, 2011. "Voluntary disclosure and the cost of equity capital: Evidence from management earnings forecasts," Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 348-366, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jappol:v:30:y:2011:i:4:p:348-366
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    Cited by:

    1. Sheng-Syan Chen & Chia-Wei Huang & Chuan-Yang Hwang & Yanzhi Wang, 2022. "Voluntary disclosure and corporate innovation," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1081-1115, April.
    2. Rjiba, Hatem & Saadi, Samir & Boubaker, Sabri & Ding, Xiaoya (Sara), 2021. "Annual report readability and the cost of equity capital," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    3. Tuo, Ling & Rezaee, Zabihollah & Gao, Lei, 2024. "Is there a tradeoff between management earnings forecasts and sustainability reporting?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    4. Roghaye Entezarian & Ali Zabihi & Khosro Faghani Makrani, 2014. "The Effect of Management Earning Forecast‘s Error on Cost of Equity Capital of Companies Listed in Tehran Stock Exchange," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 4(2), pages 362-368, April.
    5. Vahid Biglari & Ervina Binti Alfan & Rubi Binti Ahmad & Najmeh Hajian, 2013. "The Ability of Analysts' Recommendations to Predict Optimistic and Pessimistic Forecasts," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(10), pages 1-10, October.
    6. Schreder, Max, 2018. "Idiosyncratic information and the cost of equity capital: A meta-analytic review of the literature," Journal of Accounting Literature, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 142-172.
    7. Hyunkwon Cho & Robert Kim, 2021. "Asymmetric effects of voluntary disclosure on stock liquidity: evidence from 8‐K filings," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(1), pages 803-846, March.
    8. Kaijuan Gao & Manya Wang & Renyun Zhang, 2023. "Institutional investors' corporate site visits and firm management earnings forecasts," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(4), pages 4479-4504, December.
    9. Arun Upadhyay, 2014. "Social Concentration on Boards, Corporate Information Environment and Cost of Capital," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(7-8), pages 974-1001, September.
    10. Tesfaye T. Lemma & Martin Feedman & Mthokozisi Mlilo & Jin Dong Park, 2019. "Corporate carbon risk, voluntary disclosure, and cost of capital: South African evidence," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 111-126, January.
    11. Thorsten Knauer & Christian Ledwig & Andreas Wömpener, 2012. "Zur Wertrelevanz freiwilliger Managementprognosen in Deutschland," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 166-204, March.
    12. Gotti, Giorgio & Mastrolia, Stacy, 2014. "Cost of Capital for Exempt Foreign Private Issuers: Information Risk Effect or Earnings Quality Effect? It Depends," The International Journal of Accounting, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 190-220.
    13. Huang, Li & Liu, Jinsong & Shi, Jing & Ying, Qianwei, 2024. "Retail investors matter: The value of corporate interactions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

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