IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jaitra/v91y2021ics0969699720305573.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of airport weather impact on on-time performance of arrival flights for the Brazilian domestic air transportation system

Author

Listed:
  • de Oliveira, McWillian
  • Eufrásio, Ana Beatriz Rebouças
  • Guterres, Marcelo Xavier
  • Murça, Mayara Condé Rocha
  • Gomes, Rogéria de Arantes

Abstract

Air traffic operations are significantly impacted by weather conditions. These external factors may impose operational constraints and generate demand-capacity imbalances, leading to reduced on-time performance, additional airline costs and inconveniences to passengers. Efficient management of such disruptions requires an understanding of the main causes of flight delays towards increasing their predictability. In this study, we investigate the impacts of airport surface weather conditions on the likelihood of flight delays for the Brazilian domestic air transportation system. We use historical flight schedule, on-time performance and weather data and estimate a logit model to analyze how different meteorological variables at the airport of destination affect the probability of a delayed arrival. We obtain empirical evidence for the impacts of low ceiling and visibility conditions, precipitation and wind gusts on the likelihood of arrival delays for the set of Brazilian airports analyzed.

Suggested Citation

  • de Oliveira, McWillian & Eufrásio, Ana Beatriz Rebouças & Guterres, Marcelo Xavier & Murça, Mayara Condé Rocha & Gomes, Rogéria de Arantes, 2021. "Analysis of airport weather impact on on-time performance of arrival flights for the Brazilian domestic air transportation system," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:91:y:2021:i:c:s0969699720305573
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.101974
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0969699720305573
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.101974?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Borsky, Stefan & Unterberger, Christian, 2019. "Bad weather and flight delays: The impact of sudden and slow onset weather events," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 10-26.
    2. Gayle, Philip G. & Yimga, Jules O., 2018. "How much do consumers really value air travel on-time performance, and to what extent are airlines motivated to improve their on-time performance?," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 31-41.
    3. Alderighi, Marco & Gaggero, Alberto A., 2018. "Flight cancellations and airline alliances: Empirical evidence from Europe," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 90-101.
    4. Wesonga, Ronald & Nabugoomu, Fabian & Jehopio, Peter, 2012. "Parameterized framework for the analysis of probabilities of aircraft delay at an airport," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 1-4.
    5. Serhan, Duaa & Lee, Hanbong & Yoon, Sang Won, 2018. "Minimizing airline and passenger delay cost in airport surface and terminal airspace operations," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 120-133.
    6. Britto, Rodrigo & Dresner, Martin & Voltes, Augusto, 2012. "The impact of flight delays on passenger demand and societal welfare," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 460-469.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tarelho Szenczuk, João Basílio & de Arantes Gomes, Rogéria, 2022. "Level-offs in terminal areas and path stretches: Empirically estimating extra fuel burn rates in commercial aviation," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    2. Pouget, Lilian & Ribeiro, Nuno Antunes & Odoni, Amedeo R. & Antunes, António Pais, 2023. "How do airlines react to slot displacements? Evidence from a major airport," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Calzada, Joan & Fageda, Xavier, 2023. "Airport dominance, route network design and flight delays," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    2. Lonzius, Christopher & Lange, Anne, 2024. "Aircraft routing clusters and their impact on airline delays," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    3. Altringer, Levi & Zahran, Sammy & Shwiff, Stephanie A. & Begier, Michael J. & Anderson, Aaron, 2022. "Spillover delay effects of damaging wildlife strike events at U.S. airports," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    4. Park, Dong Kie & Kim, Jin Ki, 2023. "Influential factors to aircraft taxi time in airport," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    5. Mogtit, Abdessamed & Boudjemaa, Redouane & Lagha, Mohand, 2022. "A novel hybrid algorithm based on ga and m-nn for an optimal design of a weather radar network," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    6. Zhe Zheng & Wenbin Wei & Bo Zou & Minghua Hu, 2020. "How Late Does Your Flight Depart? A Quantile Regression Approach for a Chinese Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-16, December.
    7. Yimga, Jules, 2020. "Price and marginal cost effects of on-time performance: Evidence from the US airline industry," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    8. Bontemps, Christian & Remmy, Kevin & Wei, Jiangyu, 2021. "Ex-post evaluation of the American Airlines-US Airways merger: a structural approach," TSE Working Papers 21-1258, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    9. Li, Qiang & Wu, Lu & Guan, Xinjia & Tian, Ze-jin, 2024. "Interplay of network topologies in aviation delay propagation: A complex network and machine learning analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 638(C).
    10. Hanming Fang & Long Wang & Yang Yang, 2020. "Competition and Quality: Evidence from High-Speed Railways and Airlines," NBER Working Papers 27475, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Oliveira, Alessandro V.M. & Oliveira, Bruno F. & Vassallo, Moisés D., 2023. "Airport service quality perception and flight delays: Examining the influence of psychosituational latent traits of respondents in passenger satisfaction surveys," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    12. Chen, Xiaoguang & Chen, Luoye & Xie, Wei & Mueller, Nathaniel D. & Davis, Steven J., 2023. "Flight delays due to air pollution in China," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    13. Fageda, Xavier & Flores-Fillol, Ricardo, 2016. "How do airlines react to airport congestion? The role of networks," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 73-81.
    14. Zou, Bo & Hansen, Mark, 2014. "Flight delay impact on airfare and flight frequency: A comprehensive assessment," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 54-74.
    15. Li, Max Z. & Ryerson, Megan S., 2019. "Reviewing the DATAS of aviation research data: Diversity, availability, tractability, applicability, and sources," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 111-130.
    16. Martina Zámková & Luboš Střelec & Martin Prokop & Radek Stolín, 2021. "Flight Delay Causes at Selected Visegrad Group International Airports," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 91-108.
    17. Chen, Yun-Hsuan & Lin, Jen-Jia, 2021. "Determinants of flight delays at East Asian airports from an airport, route and network perspective," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    18. Zakharenko, Roman & Luttmann, Alexander, 2023. "Downsizing the jet: A forecast of economic effects of increased automation in aviation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 25-47.
    19. Philip G. Gayle & Ying Lin, 2021. "Cost Pass‐Through In Commercial Aviation: Theory And Evidence," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(2), pages 803-828, April.
    20. Kim, Myeonghyeon & Park, Sunwook, 2021. "Airport and route classification by modelling flight delay propagation," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:91:y:2021:i:c:s0969699720305573. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-air-transport-management/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.