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Analysis of airport weather impact on on-time performance of arrival flights for the Brazilian domestic air transportation system

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  • de Oliveira, McWillian
  • Eufrásio, Ana Beatriz Rebouças
  • Guterres, Marcelo Xavier
  • Murça, Mayara Condé Rocha
  • Gomes, Rogéria de Arantes

Abstract

Air traffic operations are significantly impacted by weather conditions. These external factors may impose operational constraints and generate demand-capacity imbalances, leading to reduced on-time performance, additional airline costs and inconveniences to passengers. Efficient management of such disruptions requires an understanding of the main causes of flight delays towards increasing their predictability. In this study, we investigate the impacts of airport surface weather conditions on the likelihood of flight delays for the Brazilian domestic air transportation system. We use historical flight schedule, on-time performance and weather data and estimate a logit model to analyze how different meteorological variables at the airport of destination affect the probability of a delayed arrival. We obtain empirical evidence for the impacts of low ceiling and visibility conditions, precipitation and wind gusts on the likelihood of arrival delays for the set of Brazilian airports analyzed.

Suggested Citation

  • de Oliveira, McWillian & Eufrásio, Ana Beatriz Rebouças & Guterres, Marcelo Xavier & Murça, Mayara Condé Rocha & Gomes, Rogéria de Arantes, 2021. "Analysis of airport weather impact on on-time performance of arrival flights for the Brazilian domestic air transportation system," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:91:y:2021:i:c:s0969699720305573
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.101974
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Pouget, Lilian & Ribeiro, Nuno Antunes & Odoni, Amedeo R. & Antunes, António Pais, 2023. "How do airlines react to slot displacements? Evidence from a major airport," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).

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