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Airline route developments: a review of history

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  • Swan, William M

Abstract

Airline route networks can carry growing traffic volumes by using larger airplanes, by adding frequencies on existing routes, and by adding new routes. The natural expectation has been that growth will come in all three dimensions in the listed order of importance. The last 15 years of route growth suggests otherwise. Growth has been accompanied by shifts to smaller airplane sizes. New routes have been about as strong a development as added frequencies on existing routes. It seems that network growth patterns cannot be anticipated based on intuition alone. Such unexpected results require substantial evidence in support plus some explanation of the reasons why. This paper offers data and some explanations that begin the discussion.

Suggested Citation

  • Swan, William M, 2002. "Airline route developments: a review of history," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 8(5), pages 349-353.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:8:y:2002:i:5:p:349-353
    DOI: 10.1016/S0969-6997(02)00015-7
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    Cited by:

    1. Tsai, Dungchun & Chang, Shaochi & Chen, WeiWei & Tran, Chau-lan, 2008. "The market valuation of new route announcements," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 252-256.
    2. Basso, Leonardo J. & Zhang, Anming, 2008. "On the relationship between airport pricing models," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(9), pages 725-735, November.
    3. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6792 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Wang, Chunan & Wang, Xiaoyu, 2019. "Why do airlines prefer multi-hub networks?," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 56-74.
    5. Basso, Leonardo J., 2008. "Airport deregulation: Effects on pricing and capacity," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 1015-1031, July.
    6. Rafael Bernardo Carmona Benitez & Maria Rosa Nieto, 2023. "A methodology for calculating the unmet passenger demand in the air transportation industry," Papers 23003, Working Papers of Business and Economics School. Anahuac University (Mexico)..
    7. Swan, William, 2007. "Misunderstandings about airline growth," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 3-8.
    8. Leonardo J. Basso & Sergio R. Jara-Díaz & William G. Waters, 2011. "Cost Functions for Transport Firms," Chapters, in: André de Palma & Robin Lindsey & Emile Quinet & Roger Vickerman (ed.), A Handbook of Transport Economics, chapter 12, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    9. Stephenson, Caitlin & Lohmann, Gui & Spasojevic, Bojana, 2018. "Stakeholder engagement in the development of international air services: A case study on Adelaide Airport," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 45-54.
    10. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6794 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Jara-Díaz, Sergio R. & Cortés, Cristián E. & Morales, Gabriela A., 2013. "Explaining changes and trends in the airline industry: Economies of density, multiproduct scale, and spatial scope," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 13-26.
    12. Vinamra Chaturvedi, 2021. "Mostly electric assisted airplanes (MEAP) for regional aviation: A South Asian perspective," Papers 2103.13259, arXiv.org.
    13. Leonardo Basso & Sergio Jara-Díaz, 2006. "Distinguishing Multiproduct Economies of Scale from Economies of Density on a Fixed-Size Transport Network," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 149-162, June.
    14. Burghouwt, Guillaume & Hakfoort, Jacco & Ritsema van Eck, Jan, 2003. "The spatial configuration of airline networks in Europe," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 9(5), pages 309-323.
    15. Benoit Chèze & Pascal Gastineau & Julien Chevallier, 2010. "Forecasting air traffic and corresponding jet-fuel demande until 2025," Working Papers hal-02489878, HAL.
    16. Wang, Xiyan(Jamie), 2016. "1-Hub, 2-hub or fully connected network? A theoretical analysis of the optimality of airline network structure," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 12-23.
    17. Burghouwt, Guillaume, 2014. "Long-haul specialization patterns in European multihub airline networks – An exploratory analysis," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 30-41.

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