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Measuring the economic impact of liberalization of international aviation on Hamburg airport

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  • Gillen, David
  • Hinsch, Holger

Abstract

The paper describes a four-step modeling approach to estimating the impact of changes to the international aviation bilaterals on airport revenues and the income, employment and tourism effects for the local economy. The model is estimated on and applied to Hamburg airport and the State of Hamburg using a set of 10 representative markets that would have access to the German market. We find that Hamburg airport would gain 149,000 new passengers of which 17,000 would be hubbing through the airport to other international destinations. The change in passenger and operations leads to a 6 percent increase in overall airport revenues, as well as increases in local output, investment and employment. Tourism impacts were estimated separately with 11,000 new tourists and 22 new jobs in the tourism industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Gillen, David & Hinsch, Holger, 2001. "Measuring the economic impact of liberalization of international aviation on Hamburg airport," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 25-34.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:7:y:2001:i:1:p:25-34
    DOI: 10.1016/S0969-6997(00)00025-9
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Malina & Sascha Albers & Nathalie Kroll, 2012. "Airport Incentive Programmes: A European Perspective," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 435-453, April.
    2. Papatheodorou, Andreas & Lei, Zheng, 2006. "Leisure travel in Europe and airline business models: A study of regional airports in Great Britain," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 47-52.
    3. Dobruszkes, Frédéric & Mondou, Véronique & Ghedira, Aymen, 2016. "Assessing the impacts of aviation liberalisation on tourism: Some methodological considerations derived from the Moroccan and Tunisian cases," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 115-127.
    4. Lei, Zheng & Papatheodorou, Andreas, 2010. "Measuring the effect of low-cost carriers on regional airports' commercial revenue," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 37-43.
    5. Warnock-Smith, David & Morrell, Peter, 2008. "Air transport liberalisation and traffic growth in tourism-dependent economies: A case-history of some US-Caribbean markets," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 82-91.
    6. Zhang, Shengrun & Derudder, Ben & Fuellhart, Kurt & Witlox, Frank, 2018. "Carriers’ entry patterns under EU-US open skies agreement," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 101-112.
    7. Koo, Tay T.R. & Hossein Rashidi, Taha & Park, Jin-Woo & Wu, Cheng-Lung & Tseng, Wen-Chun, 2017. "The effect of enhanced international air access on the demand for peripheral tourism destinations: Evidence from air itinerary choice behaviour of Korean visitors to Australia," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 116-129.
    8. Pellegrini, Paola & Bolić, Tatjana & Castelli, Lorenzo & Pesenti, Raffaele, 2017. "SOSTA: An effective model for the Simultaneous Optimisation of airport SloT Allocation," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 34-53.
    9. Papatheodorou, Andreas & Arvanitis, Pavlos, 2009. "Spatial evolution of airport traffic and air transport liberalisation: the case of Greece," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 402-412.
    10. Assaf, A., 2010. "The cost efficiency of Australian airports post privatisation: A Bayesian methodology," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 267-273.
    11. Fasone, Vincenzo & Kofler, Lukas & Scuderi, Raffaele, 2016. "Business performance of airports: Non-aviation revenues and their determinants," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 35-45.
    12. Castillo-Manzano, José I. & López-Valpuesta, Lourdes & González-Laxe, Fernando, 2011. "The effects of the LCC boom on the urban tourism fabric: The viewpoint of tourism managers," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1085-1095.
    13. Dieter Bogai & Mirko Wesling, 2011. "Beschäftigungseffekte von Großflughäfen: Eine kritische Bestandsaufnahme," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 31(1), pages 75-91, June.
    14. Miller, Benjamin I. & Dewey, James F. & Denslow, David & Miller, Edward B., 2016. "A welfare analysis of subsidies for airports," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 83-90.

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