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A case study: The impact of low-cost carriers on inbound tourism of Saudi Arabia

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  • Alsumairi, Mohammad
  • Hong Tsui, Kan Wai

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of low-cost carriers (LCCs) on Saudi Arabia's tourism demand. It also provides an understanding of the relationship between air transport development and tourism development in the Gulf region. The Box–Jenkins SARIMA-X models were employed to model and forecast international tourist arrivals to Saudi Arabia, using monthly international tourist arrivals to Saudi Arabia from July 2010 to December 2015. The forecasting models were significantly accurate, with lower values of MAPE, MAP, and RMSE. The findings suggest that an increase in airline capacity, religious travel, and airline competition are associated with the increasing international tourist arrivals to Saudi Arabia. This also indicates that there is a positive relationship between air transport development and tourism development. Further aviation liberalisation in the Gulf region is discussed to give opportunities for the region's LCCs to increase their share of the increasing air travel demand, thereby enhancing tourism development.

Suggested Citation

  • Alsumairi, Mohammad & Hong Tsui, Kan Wai, 2017. "A case study: The impact of low-cost carriers on inbound tourism of Saudi Arabia," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 129-145.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:62:y:2017:i:c:p:129-145
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2017.04.001
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Nguyen, Quang Hai, 2024. "Modeling the volatility of international air freight: A case study of Singapore using the SARIMAX-EGARCH model," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    2. Waheed, Rida & Sarwar, Suleman & Dignah, Ashwaq, 2020. "The role of non-oil exports, tourism and renewable energy to achieve sustainable economic growth: What we learn from the experience of Saudi Arabia," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 49-58.
    3. Khan, Nokhaiz Tariq & Jung, Gisun & Kim, Jaebum & Kim, Yun Bae, 2019. "Evolving competition between low-cost carriers and full-service carriers: The case of South Korea," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-9.
    4. Manuel González Gómez & Xerardo Pereiro, 2021. "Sinerxias entre as conexións aéreas de baixo custo en Porto (Portugal) e visitantes e peregrinos a Galicia," Working Papers 2102, Universidade de Vigo, Departamento de Economía Aplicada.
    5. Joshan, Saeid & Maertens, Sven, 2020. "Low cost carriers in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region: Emergence and barriers to development," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    6. Defilippi, Enzo & Gutierrez Andrade, Jesús, 2021. "More flights seats, more tourists?: evidence from Perú ," Working Papers 21-01, Centro de Investigación, Universidad del Pacífico.
    7. B. F. Oliveira & A. V. M Oliveira, 2023. "An empirical analysis of the determinants of network construction for Azul Airlines," Papers 2312.05630, arXiv.org.
    8. Bezruchonak, Andrei, 2024. "The Comparative Study of Connectivity, Performance and Socio-Economic Impact of Low-Cost Carriers in Poznan and Wroclaw (Poland)," Journal of Tourism, Sustainability and Well-being, Cinturs - Research Centre for Tourism, Sustainability and Well-being, University of Algarve, vol. 12(1), pages 1-20.
    9. Heping Huang & Wei Zhong & Qingsheng Lai & Yishu Qiu & Hong Jiang, 2020. "The Spatial Distribution, Influencing Factors, and Development Path of Inbound Tourism in China—An Empirical Analysis of Market Segments Based on Travel Motivation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-15, March.
    10. Oliveira, Bruno F. & Oliveira, Alessandro V.M., 2022. "An empirical analysis of the determinants of network construction for Azul Airlines," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    11. Pels, Eric, 2021. "Optimality of the hub-spoke system: A review of the literature, and directions for future research," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 1-10.
    12. Rockie U Kei Kuok & Tay T.R. Koo & Christine Lim, 2024. "Air transport capacity and tourism demand: A panel cointegration approach with cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(3), pages 702-727, May.

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