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Winning methods for forecasting tourism time series

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  • Baker, Lee C.
  • Howard, Jeremy

Abstract

We constituted Team "Lee C. Baker", which won the online tourism forecasting competition. Our forecasts had the smallest MASE for the first part of the competition involving 518 annual time series, and the second smallest MASE for the second part of the competition involving 427 quarterly time series and 366 monthly time series. In this article, we briefly describe the methods we used.

Suggested Citation

  • Baker, Lee C. & Howard, Jeremy, 2011. "Winning methods for forecasting tourism time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 850-852, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:850-852
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