IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/intfor/v27y2011i4p1241-1247.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Robust backward population projections made possible

Author

Listed:
  • Ediev, Dalkhat M.

Abstract

Based on formal results for population dynamics under varying fertility and mortality levels, this paper presents a new approach to backward population projection. Unlike other methods in the literature, the method presented here is robust and accurate in both the short and long run. The method and the theory behind it contribute to the knowledge about dynamic populations and may find applications in population modeling and reconstruction.

Suggested Citation

  • Ediev, Dalkhat M., 2011. "Robust backward population projections made possible," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1241-1247, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1241-1247
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207011000136
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ansley Coale & A. John & Toni Richards, 1985. "Calculation of age-specific fertility schedules from tabulations of parity in two censuses," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 22(4), pages 611-623, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Blake, David & Cairns, Andrew J.G., 2021. "Longevity risk and capital markets: The 2019-20 update," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 395-439.
    2. Marius D. Pascariu & Ugofilippo Basellini & José Manuel Aburto & Vladimir Canudas-Romo, 2020. "The Linear Link: Deriving Age-Specific Death Rates from Life Expectancy," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-18, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shiro Horiuchi & Samuel Preston, 1988. "Age-specific growth rates: The legacy of past population dynamics," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 25(3), pages 429-441, August.
    2. Eoghan Brady & Kenneth Hill, 2017. "Testing survey-based methods for rapid monitoring of child mortality, with implications for summary birth history data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(4), pages 1-10, April.
    3. Michael Haines, 1989. "American fertility in transition: New estimates of birth rates in the United States, 1900–1910," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 26(1), pages 137-148, February.
    4. Bruno Schoumaker, 2017. "Measuring male fertility rates in developing countries with Demographic and Health Surveys: An assessment of three methods," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 36(28), pages 803-850.
    5. Carl Schmertmann, 2002. "A Simple method for estimating age-specific rates from sequential cross sections," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 39(2), pages 287-310, May.
    6. Carl Schmertmann, 2003. "A system of model fertility schedules with graphically intuitive parameters," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 9(5), pages 81-110.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1241-1247. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ijforecast .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.