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Robust backward population projections made possible

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  • Ediev, Dalkhat M.

Abstract

Based on formal results for population dynamics under varying fertility and mortality levels, this paper presents a new approach to backward population projection. Unlike other methods in the literature, the method presented here is robust and accurate in both the short and long run. The method and the theory behind it contribute to the knowledge about dynamic populations and may find applications in population modeling and reconstruction.

Suggested Citation

  • Ediev, Dalkhat M., 2011. "Robust backward population projections made possible," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1241-1247, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1241-1247
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ansley Coale & A. John & Toni Richards, 1985. "Calculation of age-specific fertility schedules from tabulations of parity in two censuses," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 22(4), pages 611-623, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Blake, David & Cairns, Andrew J.G., 2021. "Longevity risk and capital markets: The 2019-20 update," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 395-439.
    2. Marius D. Pascariu & Ugofilippo Basellini & José Manuel Aburto & Vladimir Canudas-Romo, 2020. "The Linear Link: Deriving Age-Specific Death Rates from Life Expectancy," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-18, October.

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