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Inflation announcements and asymmetric exchange rate responses

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  • Arghyrou, Michael G.
  • Pourpourides, Panayiotis

Abstract

Previous literature has documented but not yet explained asymmetric exchange rate responses to unanticipated inflation announcements under a credible inflation-targeting regime. We present a theoretical model explaining the reported asymmetries in exchange-rate responses based on asymmetries in monetary policy preferences.

Suggested Citation

  • Arghyrou, Michael G. & Pourpourides, Panayiotis, 2016. "Inflation announcements and asymmetric exchange rate responses," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 80-84.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:40:y:2016:i:c:p:80-84
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2015.07.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ruge-Murcia, Francisco J, 2003. "Inflation Targeting under Asymmetric Preferences," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(5), pages 763-785, October.
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    4. Persson, Torsten & Tabellini, Guido, 1999. "Political economics and macroeconomic policy," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 22, pages 1397-1482, Elsevier.
    5. Paolo Surico, 2007. "The Monetary Policy of the European Central Bank," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 109(1), pages 115-135, March.
    6. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    7. Mark Gertler & Jordi Gali & Richard Clarida, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1661-1707, December.
    8. Cukierman Alex & Muscatelli Anton, 2008. "Nonlinear Taylor Rules and Asymmetric Preferences in Central Banking: Evidence from the United Kingdom and the United States," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-31, February.
    9. Campbell, John Y. (ed.), 2008. "Asset Prices and Monetary Policy," National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press, number 9780226092119, September.
    10. Surico, Paolo, 2007. "The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 305-324, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Liming Chen & Zhi Zhang & Ziqing Du & Lingling Deng, 2021. "Heterogeneous determinants of the exchange rate market in China with structural breaks," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(59), pages 6839-6854, December.
    2. Tamgac, Unay, 2021. "Emerging market exchange rates during quantitative tapering: The effect of US and domestic news," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2021. "Testing for UIP: Nonlinearities, Monetary Announcements and Interest Rate Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 9027, CESifo.
    4. Sukmana, Raditya & Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2017. "How Islamic are Islamic banks? A non-linear assessment of Islamic rate – conventional rate relations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 443-448.
    5. Shazia Kousar & Iqra Khalid & Farhan Ahmed & Jose Pedro Ramos-Requena, 2022. "Asymmetric Effect of Oil Prices on Export Performance: The Role of Export Financing Schemes in Pakistan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 188-197, March.
    6. Joseph Zhi Bin Ling & Albert K. Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2021. "Trading Macro-Cycles of Foreign Exchange Markets Using Hybrid Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-20, September.
    7. Muhammad Kamran Khan & Jian-Zhou Teng & Muhammad Imran Khan, 2019. "Cointegration between macroeconomic factors and the exchange rate USD/CNY," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-15, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate; Inflation announcements; Monetary policy; Asymmetry;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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