IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/inteco/v144y2015icp53-65.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does exchange rate volatility hurt domestic consumption? Evidence from emerging economies

Author

Listed:
  • Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen
  • Kutan, Ali M.
  • Xi, Dan

Abstract

Inflation volatility is said to reduce consumption by introducing more uncertainty to consumers who try to allocate their budget toward consumption and saving. Since exchange rate volatility contributes to inflation volatility, it is shown to have direct negative effect on consumption. Previous research established the link between exchange rate volatility and consumption using data from industrial countries. In this paper we provide a counter part by using data from 12 emerging economies. We find that while exchange rate uncertainty has short-run effects on domestic consumption of almost all countries, the short-run effects last into the long run only in half of the countries. Besides theoretical modeling of consumption behavior, the results also have important implications for business cycles and economic growth in emerging economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Kutan, Ali M. & Xi, Dan, 2015. "Does exchange rate volatility hurt domestic consumption? Evidence from emerging economies," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 53-65.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inteco:v:144:y:2015:i:c:p:53-65
    DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2015.05.002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2110701715000487
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.inteco.2015.05.002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. de Bondt, Gabe & Gieseck, Arne & Zekaite, Zivile & Herrero, Pablo, 2019. "Disaggregate income and wealth effects in the largest euro area countries," Working Paper Series 2343, European Central Bank.
    2. Dimitrios Sideris & Georgia Pavlou, 2021. "Disaggregate income and wealth effects on private consumption in Greece," Working Papers 293, Bank of Greece.
    3. Bernard Njindan Iyke & Sin‐Yu Ho, 2020. "Consumption and exchange rate uncertainty: Evidence from selected Asian countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(9), pages 2437-2462, September.
    4. Heppi Millia & Pasrun Adam & Zainuddin Saenong & Muh. Yani Balaka & Yuwanda Purnamasari Pasrun & La Ode Saidi & Wali Aya Rumbia, 2020. "The Influence of Crude Oil Prices Volatility, the Internet and Exchange Rate on the Number of Foreign Tourist Arrivals in Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 280-287.
    5. Gabe Jacob de Bondt & Arne Gieseck & Zivile Zekaite, 2020. "Thick modelling income and wealth effects: a forecast application to euro area private consumption," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 257-286, January.
    6. Bernard Njindan Iyke & Sin-Yu Ho, 2018. "Real exchange rate volatility and domestic consumption in Ghana," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 19(5), pages 513-523, June.
    7. Thomas Habanabakize, 2021. "Determining the Household Consumption Expenditure’s Resilience towards Petrol Price, Disposable Income and Exchange Rate Volatilities," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-15, June.
    8. Chen, Qi-an & Li, Huashi, 2023. "How does exchange rate elasticity of aggregate consumption adjust currency risk price in the stock market?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 590-610.
    9. Ibrahim Ayoade Adekunle & Sheriffdeen Adewale Tella & Oluwaseyi Adedayo Adelowokan, 2021. "Macroeconomic policy volatility and household consumption in Africa," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 1-22, March.
    10. Okwu, Andy & Akpa, Emeka & Oseni, Isiaq & Obiakor, Rowland, 2020. "Oil Export Revenue and Exchange Rate: An Investigation of Asymmetric Effects on Households’ Consumption Expenditure in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 102080, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Maki Nayeri, Majid, 2020. "Policy uncertainty and consumption in G7 countries: An asymmetry analysis," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 101-113.
    12. Emmanuel Uche & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Lionel Effiom, 2023. "Household consumption and exchange rate extreme dynamics: Multiple asymmetric threshold non‐linear autoregressive distributed lag model perspective," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3437-3450, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Aggregate consumption; Exchange rate uncertainty; Emerging economies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:inteco:v:144:y:2015:i:c:p:53-65. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/21107017 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.