IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/insuma/v65y2015icp77-93.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How sensitive is the pricing of lookback and interest rate guarantees when changing the modelling assumptions?

Author

Listed:
  • Orozco-Garcia, Carolina
  • Schmeiser, Hato

Abstract

This paper aims to give detailed insights into the price sensitivity of embedded investment guarantees provided by unit-linked life insurance products. Particularly, it analyzes the model and parameter risk from the provider’s perspective. We compare two different forms of investment guarantees: Interest Rate Guarantees (IRG) and Lookback Guarantees (LBG). Via Monte Carlo simulation, the prices of the embedded investment guarantees are estimated assuming the underlying to evolve according to a normal or double-exponential jump–diffusion model. The input parameters are derived from empirical data for various asset classes. In a first step, the parameters of the IRG and the LBG are adjusted such the prices of these two guarantees are equal. In a second step, a detailed comparison is made between the price sensitivities of both guarantee forms when the initial modelling parameters are changed. Finally, we investigate how parameter changes affect the investor payoff under the different guarantee forms and model assumptions used for the dynamic of the underlying.

Suggested Citation

  • Orozco-Garcia, Carolina & Schmeiser, Hato, 2015. "How sensitive is the pricing of lookback and interest rate guarantees when changing the modelling assumptions?," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 77-93.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:65:y:2015:i:c:p:77-93
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.08.004
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167668715001225
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.08.004?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Boyle, Phelim & Broadie, Mark & Glasserman, Paul, 1997. "Monte Carlo methods for security pricing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 21(8-9), pages 1267-1321, June.
    2. S. G. Kou, 2002. "A Jump-Diffusion Model for Option Pricing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 48(8), pages 1086-1101, August.
    3. Bacinello, Anna Rita & Ortu, Fulvio, 1993. "Pricing equity-linked life insurance with endogenous minimum guarantees," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 245-257, June.
    4. Lee, Hangsuck, 2003. "Pricing equity-indexed annuities with path-dependent options," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 677-690, December.
    5. Mark Broadie & Paul Glasserman, 1996. "Estimating Security Price Derivatives Using Simulation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(2), pages 269-285, February.
    6. Brennan, Michael J. & Schwartz, Eduardo S., 1976. "The pricing of equity-linked life insurance policies with an asset value guarantee," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 195-213, June.
    7. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    8. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    9. Cyrus Ramezani & Yong Zeng, 2007. "Maximum likelihood estimation of the double exponential jump-diffusion process," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 3(4), pages 487-507, October.
    10. Conze, Antoine & Viswanathan, 1991. "Path Dependent Options: The Case of Lookback Options," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1893-1907, December.
    11. McLachlan, Geoffrey J. & Krishnan, Thriyambakam & Ng, See Ket, 2004. "The EM Algorithm," Papers 2004,24, Humboldt University of Berlin, Center for Applied Statistics and Economics (CASE).
    12. Bacinello, Anna Rita & Ortu, Fulvio, 1993. "Pricing equity-linked life insurance with endogenous minimum guarantees : A corrigendum," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 303-304, December.
    13. Boyle, Phelim P., 1977. "Options: A Monte Carlo approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 323-338, May.
    14. Hans Gerber & Elias Shiu, 2003. "Pricing Lookback Options and Dynamic Guarantees," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 48-66.
    15. Nadine Gatzert & Carin Huber & Hato Schmeiser, 2011. "On the Valuation of Investment Guarantees in Unit-linked Life Insurance: A Customer Perspective," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 36(1), pages 3-29, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Daliana Luca & Hato Schmeiser & Florian Schreiber, 2023. "Investment guarantees in financial products: an analysis of consumer preferences," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 48(4), pages 906-940, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    2. Grosen, Anders & Lochte Jorgensen, Peter, 2000. "Fair valuation of life insurance liabilities: The impact of interest rate guarantees, surrender options, and bonus policies," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 37-57, February.
    3. Gan, Guojun, 2013. "Application of data clustering and machine learning in variable annuity valuation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 795-801.
    4. Li, Hongshan & Huang, Zhongyi, 2020. "An iterative splitting method for pricing European options under the Heston model☆," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 387(C).
    5. Hongshan Li & Zhongyi Huang, 2020. "An iterative splitting method for pricing European options under the Heston model," Papers 2003.12934, arXiv.org.
    6. Mark Broadie & Jerome B. Detemple, 2004. "ANNIVERSARY ARTICLE: Option Pricing: Valuation Models and Applications," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1145-1177, September.
    7. Ravi Kashyap, 2022. "Options as Silver Bullets: Valuation of Term Loans, Inventory Management, Emissions Trading and Insurance Risk Mitigation using Option Theory," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 315(2), pages 1175-1215, August.
    8. Yongxin Yang & Yu Zheng & Timothy M. Hospedales, 2016. "Gated Neural Networks for Option Pricing: Rationality by Design," Papers 1609.07472, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
    9. Boris Ter-Avanesov & Homayoon Beigi, 2024. "MLP, XGBoost, KAN, TDNN, and LSTM-GRU Hybrid RNN with Attention for SPX and NDX European Call Option Pricing," Papers 2409.06724, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    10. Suresh M. Sundaresan, 2000. "Continuous‐Time Methods in Finance: A Review and an Assessment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1569-1622, August.
    11. Mi-Hsiu Chiang & Chang-Yi Li & Son-Nan Chen, 2016. "Pricing currency options under double exponential jump diffusion in a Markov-modulated HJM economy," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 459-482, April.
    12. Laura Ballotta, 2009. "Pricing and capital requirements for with profit contracts: modelling considerations," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(7), pages 803-817.
    13. Chong, Wing Fung, 2019. "Pricing and hedging equity-linked life insurance contracts beyond the classical paradigm: The principle of equivalent forward preferences," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 93-107.
    14. Kevin Fergusson & Eckhard Platen, 2013. "Real World Pricing of Long Term Cash-Linked Annuities and Equity-Linked Annuities with Cash-Linked Guarantees," Research Paper Series 338, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    15. Zafar Ahmad & Reilly Browne & Rezaul Chowdhury & Rathish Das & Yushen Huang & Yimin Zhu, 2023. "Fast American Option Pricing using Nonlinear Stencils," Papers 2303.02317, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    16. Ravi Kashyap, 2016. "Options as Silver Bullets: Valuation of Term Loans, Inventory Management, Emissions Trading and Insurance Risk Mitigation using Option Theory," Papers 1609.01274, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    17. repec:abd:kauiea:v:30:y:2017:i:2:p:135-157 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Alexander Melnikov & Yuliya Romanyuk, 2008. "Efficient Hedging And Pricing Of Equity-Linked Life Insurance Contracts On Several Risky Assets," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(03), pages 295-323.
    19. Jumadil Saputra & Suhal Kusairi & Nur Azura Sanusi, 2017. "Modeling the Premium and Contract Properties of Family Takaful (Islamic Life Insurance) نمذجة قسط وخصائص عقد التكافل الأسري (التأمين الإسلامي على الحياة)," Journal of King Abdulaziz University: Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 30(2), pages 135-157, July.
    20. Costabile, M., 2013. "Analytical valuation of periodical premiums for equity-linked policies with minimum guarantee," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 597-600.
    21. Pierdzioch, Christian, 2000. "Noise Traders? Trigger Rates, FX Options, and Smiles," Kiel Working Papers 970, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:65:y:2015:i:c:p:77-93. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505554 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.