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Progressive nucleation mechanism and its application to the growth of journals, articles and authors in scientific fields

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  • Sangwal, Keshra

Abstract

The basic concepts of progressive nucleation mechanism are described and the final equations of the mechanism are used to analyze the growth of articles in three randomly selected databases from 20 different databases in humanities (philosopher's index, set 1), social sciences (exceptional child education, set 5) and science and technology (food science and technology, set 10), respectively, covering the period 1968–1987, previously analyzed by Egghe and Ravichandra Rao (1992, Scientometrics 25 (1), 5–46), and the growth of journals, articles and authors in malaria research for the period 1955–2005, reported recently by Ravichandra Rao and Srivastava (2010, Journal of Informetrics 4 (1), 249–256) and compared with the predictions of the power–law equation. Analysis of the former data revealed that: (1) the progressive nucleation mechanism describes the data better than the power–law relation, (2) the field of social sciences is saturated much earlier than science and technology but publication activity in humanities is saturated much later, and (3) that social sciences have the maximum growth, followed by lower growth in humanities and the lowest growth in science and technology. The data on journals J(t), papers N(t) and authors W(t) against publication year Y in malaria research can be described equally well by equations of the power–law and progressive nucleation mechanism, and the growth of journals J(t) and articles N(t) is intimately connected with the growth of authors W(t).

Suggested Citation

  • Sangwal, Keshra, 2011. "Progressive nucleation mechanism and its application to the growth of journals, articles and authors in scientific fields," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 529-536.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:infome:v:5:y:2011:i:4:p:529-536
    DOI: 10.1016/j.joi.2011.04.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ravichandra Rao, I.K. & Srivastava, Divya, 2010. "Growth of journals, articles and authors in malaria research," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 249-256.
    2. Sangwal, K., 2011. "On the growth of citations of publication output of individual authors," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 554-564.
    3. Wong, Chan-Yuan & Goh, Kim-Leng, 2010. "Growth behavior of publications and patents: A comparative study on selected Asian economies," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 460-474.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sangwal, Keshra, 2015. "On the growth dynamics of citations of articles by some Nobel Prize winners," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 466-476.
    2. Keshra Sangwal, 2012. "Progressive nucleation mechanism for the growth behavior of items and its application to cumulative papers and citations of individual authors," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 92(3), pages 575-591, September.
    3. Keshra Sangwal, 2012. "Application of progressive nucleation mechanism for the citation behavior of individual papers of different authors," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 92(3), pages 643-655, September.

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