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Costs of sovereign debt crises: Restructuring strategies and bank intermediation

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  • Asonuma, Tamon
  • Chamon, Marcos
  • Erce, Aitor
  • Sasahara, Akira

Abstract

Sovereign debt restructurings are associated with declines in the growth of GDP, investment, bank credit to the private sector and capital flows. Our empirical findings show that the intensity of these losses depends on two aspects: whether the restructuring preempts a default and the extent of the reliance of the country’s private sector on domestic bank credit. Post-default restructurings are associated with worse outcomes than restructurings that take place preemptively without missing payments and going into default. Much of that difference is driven by restructurings in countries with relatively large banking sectors, in particular during post-default episodes.

Suggested Citation

  • Asonuma, Tamon & Chamon, Marcos & Erce, Aitor & Sasahara, Akira, 2024. "Costs of sovereign debt crises: Restructuring strategies and bank intermediation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inecon:v:152:y:2024:i:c:s0022199624001296
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.104002
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    Keywords

    Sovereign debt; Sovereign default; Debt restructuring; GDP growth; Investment; Bank intermediation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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