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Assessing the mitigation potential of forestry activities in a changing climate: A case study for Karnataka

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  • Khatun, Kaysara
  • Valdes, Paul J.
  • Knorr, Wolfgang
  • Chaturvedi, Rajiv Kumar

Abstract

The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), Article 12 of the Kyoto Protocol allows Afforestation and Reforestation (A/R) projects as mitigation activities to offset the CO2 in the atmosphere whilst simultaneously seeking to ensure sustainable development for the host country. The Kyoto Protocol was ratified by the Government of India in August 2002 and one of India's objectives in acceding to the Protocol was to fulfil the prerequisites for implementation of projects under the CDM in accordance with national sustainable priorities. The objective of this paper is to assess the effectiveness of using large-scale forestry projects under the CDM in achieving its twin goals using Karnataka State as a case study. The Generalized Comprehensive Mitigation Assessment Process (GCOMAP) Model is used to observe the effect of varying carbon prices on the land available for A/R projects. The model is coupled with outputs from the Lund-Potsdam-Jena (LPJ) Dynamic Global Vegetation Model to incorporate the impacts of temperature rise due to climate change under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2, A1B and B1. With rising temperatures and CO2, vegetation productivity is increased under A2 and A1B scenarios and reduced under B1. Results indicate that higher carbon price paths produce higher gains in carbon credits and accelerate the rate at which available land hits maximum capacity thus acting as either an incentive or disincentive for landowners to commit their lands to forestry mitigation projects.

Suggested Citation

  • Khatun, Kaysara & Valdes, Paul J. & Knorr, Wolfgang & Chaturvedi, Rajiv Kumar, 2010. "Assessing the mitigation potential of forestry activities in a changing climate: A case study for Karnataka," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 277-286, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:forpol:v:12:y:2010:i:4:p:277-286
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. N. Ravindranath & I. Murthy & R. Chaturvedi & K. Andrasko & J. Sathaye, 2007. "Carbon forestry economic mitigation potential in India, by land classification," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 12(6), pages 1027-1050, July.
    2. Smith, Joyotee & Scherr, Sara J., 2003. "Capturing the Value of Forest Carbon for Local Livelihoods," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 2143-2160, December.
    3. Vine, Edward & Kats, Gregory & Sathaye, Jayant & Joshi, Hemant, 2003. "International greenhouse gas trading programs: a discussion of measurement and accounting issues," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 211-224, February.
    4. Evans, Michael & Swartz, Timothy, 2000. "Approximating Integrals via Monte Carlo and Deterministic Methods," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198502784.
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    1. Kaysara Khatun, 2010. "Competing Ecosystem Services: an Assessment of Carbon and Timber in the Tropical Forests of Central America," Working Papers 2010-14, BC3.
    2. Dandres, Thomas & Gaudreault, Caroline & Tirado-Seco, Pablo & Samson, Réjean, 2012. "Macroanalysis of the economic and environmental impacts of a 2005–2025 European Union bioenergy policy using the GTAP model and life cycle assessment," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 1180-1192.

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