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Asymmetric effects of sell-side analyst optimism and broker market share by clientele

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  • Grant, Andrew
  • Jarnecic, Elvis
  • Su, Mark

Abstract

This paper provides evidence for the first time on how different broker clienteles react to earnings forecast and stock recommendations. Greater trade volume is found to be associated with optimistic earnings forecasts while stock recommendations are stronger for analysts affiliated with retail brokerage firms than those affiliated with institutional brokerage firms. We also find that the market share of buy volume (that is, volume from buy orders) substantially rises on recommendation upgrades while the market share of sell volume rises on recommendation downgrades, and that this effect is stronger for retail clientele.

Suggested Citation

  • Grant, Andrew & Jarnecic, Elvis & Su, Mark, 2015. "Asymmetric effects of sell-side analyst optimism and broker market share by clientele," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 49-65.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:24:y:2015:i:c:p:49-65
    DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2015.04.001
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    Cited by:

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    2. Chen, Rongda & Xu, Guorui & Xu, Feng & Jin, Chenglu & Yu, Jingjing, 2022. "A clientele effect in online lending markets: Evidence from the comovement between investor sentiment and online lending rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    3. Tiana Lehmer & Ben Lourie & Devin Shanthikumar, 2022. "Brokerage trading volume and analysts’ earnings forecasts: a conflict of interest?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 441-476, June.
    4. James, Robert & Jarnecic, Elvis & Leung, Henry, 2022. "Who Values Economist Forecasts? Evidence From Trading in Treasury Markets," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    5. Haozhi Huang & Mingsheng Li & Jing Shi, 2020. "Should Financial Gatekeepers be Publicly Traded?," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 164(1), pages 175-200, June.
    6. Huai-Chun Lo & Chia-Ying Chan, 2023. "Mean reverting in stock ratings distribution," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1065-1097, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market microstructure; Analyst forecasts; Analyst incentives;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage

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