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Are natural resource volatility curses or blessings for economic performance? Stories of resource-rich regions

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  • Wang, Qi
  • Zhang, Li

Abstract

This paper analyses the time-varying and non-linear effects of natural resource volatility on economic growth in 10 countries using the smooth transition regression (STR) model and further examines the long-run and short-run relationships using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration approach. The conclusions exhibit that natural resource rents are linearly and non-linearly associated with economic growth in countries with different levels of economic development, and display long-term cointegration and short-term equilibrium state. This study provides guidance for policymakers to implement long-term and short-term management strategies when considering national development differences.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Qi & Zhang, Li, 2024. "Are natural resource volatility curses or blessings for economic performance? Stories of resource-rich regions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:69:y:2024:i:pb:s1544612324012698
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106240
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Natural resources; Economic performance; STR model; ARDL model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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