IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v69y2024ipbs1544612324011590.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Measuring firm-level manager risk perception

Author

Listed:
  • He, Yu
  • Liu, Zhenya
  • Lu, Shanglin
  • Wei, Ran

Abstract

Using textual analysis of Chinese listed firms’ filings, we construct a new firm-level measure of manager risk perception. The measure identifies the extent of risk perceived by managers. We validate our measure by showing that it varies over time and across industries, correlates with aggregate economic policy uncertainty and firm-level stock return volatility, and relates cross-sectionally with firm characteristics. Managers with higher risk perception leads to a lower level of firm investment.

Suggested Citation

  • He, Yu & Liu, Zhenya & Lu, Shanglin & Wei, Ran, 2024. "Measuring firm-level manager risk perception," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:69:y:2024:i:pb:s1544612324011590
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106130
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612324011590
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106130?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zacharias Sautner & Laurence Van Lent & Grigory Vilkov & Ruishen Zhang, 2023. "Firm‐Level Climate Change Exposure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1449-1498, June.
    2. Nadeem, Muhammad & Suleman, Tahir & Ahmed, Ammad, 2019. "Women on boards, firm risk and the profitability nexus: Does gender diversity moderate the risk and return relationship?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 427-442.
    3. David Hirshleifer & Angie Low & Siew Hong Teoh, 2012. "Are Overconfident CEOs Better Innovators?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(4), pages 1457-1498, August.
    4. Tarek A Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2019. "Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(4), pages 2135-2202.
    5. Sabri Boubaker & Pascal Nguyen & Wael Rouatbi, 2016. "Multiple Large Shareholders and Corporate Risk†taking: Evidence from French Family Firms," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(4), pages 697-745, September.
    6. Farooq, Muhammad Umar & Su, Kun & Boubaker, Sabri & Ali Gull, Ammar, 2022. "Does gender promote ethical and risk-averse behavior among CEOs? An illustration through related-party transactions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    7. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    8. Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A. & Yarovaya, Larisa & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The cryptocurrency uncertainty index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    9. He, Yu & Lu, Shanglin & Wei, Ran & Wang, Shixuan, 2024. "Local media sentiment towards pollution and its effect on corporate green innovation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    10. Ricardo J Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2020. "A Risk-Centric Model of Demand Recessions and Speculation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(3), pages 1493-1566.
    11. Boubaker, Sabri & Liu, Zhenya & Zhai, Ling, 2021. "Big data, news diversity and financial market crash," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    12. Kai Li & Feng Mai & Rui Shen & Xinyan Yan, 2021. "Measuring Corporate Culture Using Machine Learning," NBER Chapters, in: Big Data: Long-Term Implications for Financial Markets and Firms, pages 3265-3315, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Kai Li & Feng Mai & Rui Shen & Xinyan Yan, 2021. "Measuring Corporate Culture Using Machine Learning [Machine learning methods that economists should know about]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(7), pages 3265-3315.
    14. Yu He & Linshan Qu & Ran Wei & Xuankai Zhao, 2022. "Media-based investor sentiment and stock returns: a textual analysis based on newspapers," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(7), pages 774-792, February.
    15. Boubaker, S. & Liu, Z. & Zhai, L., 2021. "Big data, news diversity and financial market crash," Post-Print hal-03323671, HAL.
    16. Carolin Pflueger & Emil Siriwardane & Adi Sunderam, 2020. "Financial Market Risk Perceptions and the Macroeconomy," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(3), pages 1443-1491.
    17. Faccio, Mara & Marchica, Maria-Teresa & Mura, Roberto, 2016. "CEO gender, corporate risk-taking, and the efficiency of capital allocation," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 193-209.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ersahin, Nuri & Giannetti, Mariassunta & Huang, Ruidi, 2024. "Supply chain risk: Changes in supplier composition and vertical integration," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    2. Datta, Sudip & Doan, Trang & Toscano, Francesca, 2023. "Top executive gender, corporate culture, and the value of corporate cash holdings," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    3. Chindasombatcharoen, Pongsapak & Chatjuthamard, Pattanaporn & Jiraporn, Pornsit, 2023. "Corporate culture, cultural diversification, and independent directors: Evidence from earnings conference calls," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    4. Cheng, Sirui & Hua, Xiuping & Wang, Qingfeng, 2023. "Corporate culture and firm resilience in China: Evidence from the Sino-US trade war," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Song, Ciji & Nahm, Abraham Y. & Song, Zengji, 2021. "Entrepreneurs' hobbies and corporate risk taking: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Alex Kim & Maximilian Muhn & Valeri Nikolaev, 2023. "Bloated Disclosures: Can ChatGPT Help Investors Process Information?," Papers 2306.10224, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    7. Treepongkaruna, Sirimon & Jiraporn, Pornsit & Kyaw, Khine & Padungsaksawasdi, Chaiyuth, 2024. "Climate change exposure and corporate culture: A text-based approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    8. Gao, Lei & Han, Jianlei & Pan, Zheyao & Zhang, Huixuan, 2023. "Individualistic CEO and corporate innovation: Evidence from U.S. frontier culture," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(9).
    9. Aabo, Tom & Kirch, Theodor Roe & Thomsen, Katrine Høj Stadil, 2024. "Give me uncertainty, and I will shine: CEO narcissism and corporate performance," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    10. Xue, Xingnan & Hu, Nan, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and imitation behaviors of corporate social responsibility practices: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    11. Douglas Cumming & Fanyu Lu & Limin Xu & Chia-Feng (Jeffrey) Yu, 2024. "Are Companies Offloading Risk onto Employees in Times of Uncertainty? Insights from Corporate Pension Plans," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 195(3), pages 579-598, December.
    12. Tommaso, Caterina Di & Foglia, Matteo & Pacelli, Vincenzo, 2024. "The impact of climate policy uncertainty on the Italian financial market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    13. Fang, Yiwei & Fiordelisi, Franco & Hasan, Iftekhar & Leung, Woon Sau & Wong, Gabriel, 2023. "Corporate culture and firm value: Evidence from crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    14. Hu, Mingsheng & Yang, Xu & Zhu, You & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "Spillover effect of corporate digitalization in the supply chain: Perspective of trade credit financing," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    15. Lukas Timbate & Dongil Kim & Dereje Asrat & Hwang Sungjun, 2024. "Firm-level political uncertainty, corporate lobbying and risk-taking," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    16. Jon Danielsson & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2023. "The Impact of Risk Cycles on Business Cycles: A Historical View," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 36(7), pages 2922-2961.
    17. Chatjuthamard, Pattanaporn & Wongboonsin, Kua & Ongsakul, Viput & Jiraporn, Pornsit, 2024. "Corporate culture, staggered boards, and managerial entrenchment: Evidence from textual analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 404-418.
    18. Hossain, Md Noman & Rabarison, Monika K. & Guo, Chiquan, 2024. "Corporate culture and investment inefficiency," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    19. Rahman, Sohanur & Sinnewe, Elisabeth & Chapple, Larelle, 2024. "Environment-specific political risk discourse and expected crash risk: The role of political activism," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    20. Liu, Yulin & Wang, Junbo & Wen, Fenghua & Wu, Chunchi, 2024. "Corporate responses to systemic risk: Talk and action," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk perception; Investment; Dictionary method; Word2Vec;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:69:y:2024:i:pb:s1544612324011590. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.