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Climate change concerns and macroeconomic condition predictability

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  • Enwo-Irem, Imaculata Nnenna
  • Urom, Christian

Abstract

This study examines the aggregate and disaggregated effects of media concerns about climate change on the predictability of future macroeconomic conditions using quantile regression technique for the period from January, 2003 to August, 2022. This paper finds that media concerns about climate change increases macroeconomic uncertainty and that these effects are heterogeneous across themes and climate change-related topics as well as macroeconomic uncertainty levels. In particular, concerns about the environmental impact of climate change increases future macroeconomic uncertainty irrespective of existing level of uncertainty while that of business impact may reduce it if current uncertainty level is very low.

Suggested Citation

  • Enwo-Irem, Imaculata Nnenna & Urom, Christian, 2024. "Climate change concerns and macroeconomic condition predictability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:60:y:2024:i:c:s1544612323012758
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104903
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate-change concerns; Macroeconomic predictability; Quantile regression; Environmental/business impact; Societal debates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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