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What can we learn from financial stress indicator?

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  • Zhang, Dan
  • Li, Biangxiang

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the information of the financial stress index has predictive power for stock returns. The empirical results show that the financial stress index is efficient in predicting stock returns. In addition, the financial stress index can provide incremental information based on 14 traditional macroeconomic variables. Considering different investor risk aversion coefficients, the financial stress index has the highest CER and SR gains among the predictors. Our paper tries to provide new evidence for stock return predictability from the perspective of financial stress.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Dan & Li, Biangxiang, 2022. "What can we learn from financial stress indicator?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:50:y:2022:i:c:s1544612322004767
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.103293
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    2. Martínez-Ruiz, Yessenia & Manotas-Duque, Diego Fernando & Ramírez-Malule, Howard, 2023. "Financial risk assessment of a district cooling system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
    3. M. Yu. Malkina, 2024. "Real Income Stress in Russian Regions Amid the Pandemic and Sanctions," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 109-125, June.
    4. Naomi Pode-Shakked & Megan Slack & Nambirajan Sundaram & Ruth Schreiber & Kyle W. McCracken & Benjamin Dekel & Michael Helmrath & Raphael Kopan, 2023. "RAAS-deficient organoids indicate delayed angiogenesis as a possible cause for autosomal recessive renal tubular dysgenesis," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-18, December.

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