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Russia–Ukraine war and systemic risk: Who is taking the heat?

Author

Listed:
  • Qureshi, Anum
  • Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail
  • Ahmad, Ghufran
  • Ashraf, Dawood

Abstract

The Russia–Ukraine conflict has increased systemic vulnerabilities of the global financial system. We develop a database of news events and investigate the systemic risk implications of the conflict on Russia, Ukraine, France, Germany, Italy, the UK, the USA, and China. Results show that systemic instability costs of the conflict go beyond Russia and Ukraine. Sanctions cause systemic risk spillovers to European countries and the USA. Study findings caution against the accumulation of systemic risk as sanctions may adversely affect the rest of the world aside from the main target - Russia.

Suggested Citation

  • Qureshi, Anum & Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail & Ahmad, Ghufran & Ashraf, Dawood, 2022. "Russia–Ukraine war and systemic risk: Who is taking the heat?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:48:y:2022:i:c:s1544612322002744
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.103036
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Systemic risk; Russia–Ukraine war; Spillover risk; Sanctions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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