IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v33y2020ics1544612318309139.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Internet search-based investor sentiment and value premium

Author

Listed:
  • Klemola, Antti

Abstract

We study how unexpected change in Internet search-based investor sentiment affects subsequent value premium in the U.S. stock market. For the investor sentiment, we use a sentiment that is based on individual investors’ Internet search activity. We argue that stocks that are considered to be more sensitive to fluctuations in investor sentiment, like financially distressed (proxied by high book-to-market ratio) stocks, should also be more affected by unexpected changes in the sentiment. We find that an unexpected increase in optimism (pessimism) in the sentiment predicts positive (negative) subsequent value premium in the U.S stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Klemola, Antti, 2020. "Internet search-based investor sentiment and value premium," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:33:y:2020:i:c:s1544612318309139
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.06.022
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612318309139
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2019.06.022?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paul C. Tetlock & Maytal Saar‐Tsechansky & Sofus Macskassy, 2008. "More Than Words: Quantifying Language to Measure Firms' Fundamentals," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 63(3), pages 1437-1467, June.
    2. John Y. Campbell & Sanford J. Grossman & Jiang Wang, 1993. "Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 108(4), pages 905-939.
    3. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2006. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1645-1680, August.
    4. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    5. Zhi Da & Joseph Engelberg & Pengjie Gao, 2015. "Editor's Choice The Sum of All FEARS Investor Sentiment and Asset Prices," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(1), pages 1-32.
    6. Paul C. Tetlock, 2007. "Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(3), pages 1139-1168, June.
    7. Zhi Da & Joseph Engelberg & Pengjie Gao, 2011. "In Search of Attention," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(5), pages 1461-1499, October.
    8. Aruoba, S. BoraÄŸan & Diebold, Francis X. & Scotti, Chiara, 2009. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 417-427.
    9. P. Corredor & E. Ferrer & R. Santamaria, 2015. "The Impact of Investor Sentiment on Stock Returns in Emerging Markets: The Case of Central European Markets," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(4), pages 328-355, July.
    10. Baker, Malcolm & Wurgler, Jeffrey & Yuan, Yu, 2012. "Global, local, and contagious investor sentiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 272-287.
    11. Vozlyublennaia, Nadia, 2014. "Investor attention, index performance, and return predictability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 17-35.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Syakir, Muhammad Fahmi & Risfandy, Tastaftiyan & Trinugroho, Irwan, 2021. "CEO’s social capital and performance of zakat institutions: Cross-country evidence," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    2. Xu, Yongan & Liang, Chao & Li, Yan & Huynh, Toan L.D., 2022. "News sentiment and stock return: Evidence from managers’ news coverages," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    3. Yuan Li & Yu Zhang, 2021. "Investor Sentiment, Idiosyncratic Risk, and Stock Price Premium: Evidence From Chinese Cross-Listed Companies," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, June.
    4. Fabozzi, Francesco A. & Nazemi, Abdolreza, 2023. "News-based sentiment and the value premium," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Rongda & Bao, Weiwei & Jin, Chenglu, 2021. "Investor sentiment and predictability for volatility on energy futures Markets: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 112-129.
    2. Jin, Xuejun & Chen, Cheng & Yang, Xiaolan, 2024. "The effect of international media news on the global stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 50-69.
    3. Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2018. "Does investor attention matter? The attention-return relationships in FX markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 644-660.
    4. Qadan, Mahmoud & Nama, Hazar, 2018. "Investor sentiment and the price of oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 42-58.
    5. González-Fernández, Marcos & González-Velasco, Carmen, 2020. "A sentiment index to measure sovereign risk using Google data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 406-418.
    6. Szymon Lis, 2022. "Investor Sentiment in Asset Pricing Models: A Review," Working Papers 2022-14, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    7. Hasan, Md. Tanvir, 2022. "The sum of all SCARES COVID-19 sentiment and asset return," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 332-346.
    8. Thomas Dimpfl & Vladislav Kleiman, 2019. "Investor Pessimism and the German Stock Market: Exploring Google Search Queries," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(1), pages 1-28, February.
    9. Bucher, Melk C., 2017. "Investor Attention and Sentiment: Risk or Anomaly?," Working Papers on Finance 1712, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    10. Juan Pablo Gutierrez Pineda & Daniel Perez Liston, 2021. "The Effect of U.S. Investor Sentiment on Cross-Listed Securities Returns: A High-Frequency Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-15, October.
    11. Daniele Ballinari & Simon Behrendt, 2021. "How to gauge investor behavior? A comparison of online investor sentiment measures," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 169-204, June.
    12. Wang, Wenzhao & Duxbury, Darren, 2021. "Institutional investor sentiment and the mean-variance relationship: Global evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 415-441.
    13. Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Gonzalez-Fernandez, Marcos & Miffre, Joelle, 2020. "Fear of hazards in commodity futures markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    14. Jaroslav Bukovina, 2015. "Sentiment of a society and large-cap stock liquidity," MENDELU Working Papers in Business and Economics 2015-56, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    15. Edmans, Alex & Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Garel, Alexandre & Indriawan, Ivan, 2022. "Music sentiment and stock returns around the world," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 234-254.
    16. Anand, Abhinav & Basu, Sankarshan & Pathak, Jalaj & Thampy, Ashok, 2021. "The impact of sentiment on emerging stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 161-177.
    17. Zongwu Cai & Pixiong Chen, 2022. "New Online Investor Sentiment and Asset Returns," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202216, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2022.
    18. Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "Do cryptocurrencies feel the music?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    19. Onur Bayar & Emre Kesici, 2024. "The impact of social media on venture capital financing: evidence from Twitter interactions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(1), pages 195-224, January.
    20. Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Garel, Alexandre & Indriawan, Ivan, 2020. "Music sentiment and stock returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Search-based investor sentiment; Internet searches; Cross-sectional stock returns; Value premium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G40 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:33:y:2020:i:c:s1544612318309139. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.