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Who has volatility information in the index options market?

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  • Ryu, Doojin
  • Yang, Heejin

Abstract

We examine volatility information embedded in the demand for options by analyzing data related to trades and investors. We find that overall demand for volatility in the options market does not predict stock market volatility but that foreign investors’ vega-weighted net demand conveys significant information about future volatility dynamics. Foreign investors use their superior volatility information by trading near-the-money options with high vega values.

Suggested Citation

  • Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin, 2019. "Who has volatility information in the index options market?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 266-270.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:30:y:2019:i:c:p:266-270
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.10.008
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jun Pan & Allen M. Poteshman, 2006. "The Information in Option Volume for Future Stock Prices," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(3), pages 871-908.
    2. Gharghori, Philip & Maberly, Edwin D. & Nguyen, Annette, 2017. "Informed Trading around Stock Split Announcements: Evidence from the Option Market," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(2), pages 705-735, April.
    3. Kang, Jangkoo & Park, Hyoung-Jin, 2008. "The information content of net buying pressure: Evidence from the KOSPI 200 index option market," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 36-56, February.
    4. Hee‐Joon Ahn & Jangkoo Kang & Doojin Ryu, 2008. "Informed trading in the index option market: The case of KOSPI 200 options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(12), pages 1118-1146, December.
    5. Wonho Song & Doojin Ryu & Robert I. Webb, 2018. "Volatility dynamics under an endogenous Markov-switching framework: a cross-market approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(9), pages 1559-1571, September.
    6. Doojin Ryu, 2015. "The Information Content of Trades: An Analysis of KOSPI 200 Index Derivatives," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(3), pages 201-221, March.
    7. Kalok Chan & Y. Peter Chung & Wai-Ming Fong, 2002. "The Informational Role of Stock and Option Volume," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(4), pages 1049-1075.
    8. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:3:p:1235-1258 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Doojin Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2018. "The directional information content of options volumes," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(12), pages 1533-1548, December.
    10. Chang, Chuang-Chang & Hsieh, Pei-Fang & Wang, Yaw-Huei, 2010. "Information content of options trading volume for future volatility: Evidence from the Taiwan options market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 174-183, January.
    11. Ge, Li & Lin, Tse-Chun & Pearson, Neil D., 2016. "Why does the option to stock volume ratio predict stock returns?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 601-622.
    12. Sophie X. Ni & Jun Pan & Allen M. Poteshman, 2008. "Volatility Information Trading in the Option Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 63(3), pages 1059-1091, June.
    13. Chung, Kee H. & Park, Seongkyu “Gilbert” & Ryu, Doojin, 2016. "Trade duration, informed trading, and option moneyness," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 395-411.
    14. Rourke, Thomas, 2014. "The delta- and vega-related information content of near-the-money option market trading activity," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 175-193.
    15. Roll, Richard & Schwartz, Eduardo & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar, 2010. "O/S: The relative trading activity in options and stock," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 1-17, April.
    16. Heejin Yang & Hyung‐Suk Choi & Doojin Ryu, 2017. "Option Market Characteristics and Price Monotonicity Violations," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 473-498, May.
    17. Fahlenbrach, Rüdiger & Sandås, Patrik, 2010. "Does information drive trading in option strategies?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 2370-2385, October.
    18. Doojin Ryu, 2011. "Intraday price formation and bid–ask spread components: A new approach using a cross‐market model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(12), pages 1142-1169, December.
    19. Hu, Jianfeng, 2014. "Does option trading convey stock price information?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(3), pages 625-645.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jieun Lee & Doojin Ryu, 2019. "The impacts of public news announcements on intraday implied volatility dynamics," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 656-685, June.
    2. Xingguo Luo & Wenye Cai & Doojin Ryu, 2022. "Information contents of intraday SSE 50 ETF options trades," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 580-604, April.
    3. Karam KIM & Doojin RYU, 2020. "Predictive ability of investor sentiment for the stock market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 33-46, December.
    4. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2023. "Discovering the drivers of stock market volatility in a data-rich world," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    5. Murad Samsudin, Najmi Ismail & Mohamad, Azhar & Sifat, Imtiaz Mohammad, 2021. "Implied volatility of structured warrants: Emerging market evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 464-479.
    6. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2020. "Economic indicators and stock market volatility in an emerging economy," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(2).
    7. Doojin Ryu & Robert I. Webb & Jinyoung Yu, 2023. "Who pays the liquidity cost? Central bank announcements and adverse selection," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 904-924, July.
    8. Xingguo Luo & Doojin Ryu & Libin Tao & Chuxin Ye, 2024. "Price monotonicity violations during stock market crashes: Evidence from the SSE 50 ETF options market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 533-554, March.
    9. Joonhyuk Song & Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2023. "Changes in the options contract size and arbitrage opportunities," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 122-137, January.
    10. Kaeck, Andreas & van Kervel, Vincent & Seeger, Norman J., 2022. "Price impact versus bid–ask spreads in the index option market," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 59(PA).
    11. Doojin Ryu & Doowon Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2021. "The impact of net buying pressure on index options prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 27-45, January.
    12. Lee, Jaeram & Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin, 2021. "Does vega-neutral options trading contain information?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 294-314.
    13. Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2021. "Informed options trading around holidays," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 658-685, May.
    14. Jinyoung Yu & Young‐Chul Kim & Doojin Ryu, 2024. "Left‐digit biases: Individual and institutional investors," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 518-532, March.
    15. Daehyeon PARK & Doojin RYU, 2021. "Forecasting Stock Market Dynamics using Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 22-34, June.
    16. Lee, Jieun & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "How does FX liquidity affect the relationship between foreign ownership and stock liquidity?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 101-119.
    17. Daehyeon Park & Jiyeon Park & Doojin Ryu, 2020. "Volatility Spillovers between Equity and Green Bond Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-12, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market microstructure; Foreign investor; KOSPI200 options; Vega; Volatility information;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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