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Information risk and credit contagion

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  • Huang, Alex YiHou
  • Cheng, Chiao-Ming

Abstract

This paper demonstrates a positive relationship between information risk and the credit contagion effect. We use abnormal changes in the Credit Default Swaps (CDS) spreads to measure the contagion effect, and the dispersion of analyst forecasts as a proxy for information risk. We find that firms with higher information risk suffer a greater contagion effect that occurs in advance to the credit default events. This finding is robust under controls of key firm-specific characteristics and general condition of stock and credit markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Alex YiHou & Cheng, Chiao-Ming, 2013. "Information risk and credit contagion," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 116-123.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:10:y:2013:i:3:p:116-123
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2013.06.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Harrison Hong & Terence Lim & Jeremy C. Stein, 2000. "Bad News Travels Slowly: Size, Analyst Coverage, and the Profitability of Momentum Strategies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(1), pages 265-295, February.
    2. X. Frank Zhang, 2006. "Information Uncertainty and Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(1), pages 105-137, February.
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    4. Norden, Lars & Weber, Martin, 2004. "Informational efficiency of credit default swap and stock markets: The impact of credit rating announcements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(11), pages 2813-2843, November.
    5. Hull, John & Predescu, Mirela & White, Alan, 2004. "The relationship between credit default swap spreads, bond yields, and credit rating announcements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(11), pages 2789-2811, November.
    6. Norden, Lars & Wagner, Wolf, 2008. "Credit derivatives and loan pricing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 2560-2569, December.
    7. Jorion, Philippe & Zhang, Gaiyan, 2007. "Good and bad credit contagion: Evidence from credit default swaps," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(3), pages 860-883, June.
    8. Huang, Alex YiHou, 2012. "Asymmetric dynamics of stock price continuation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1839-1855.
    9. Acharya, Viral V. & Johnson, Timothy C., 2007. "Insider trading in credit derivatives," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 110-141, April.
    10. Doron Avramov & Tarun Chordia & Gergana Jostova & Alexander Philipov, 2007. "Momentum and Credit Rating," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(5), pages 2503-2520, October.
    11. Philippe Jorion & Gaiyan Zhang, 2009. "Credit Contagion from Counterparty Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(5), pages 2053-2087, October.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Alex YiHou, 2016. "Impacts of implied volatility on stock price realized jumps," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 622-630.
    2. Aiche Avishay & Cohen Gil & Griskin Vladimir, 2024. "Stocks Opening Price Gaps and Adjustments to New Information," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(2), pages 877-891, February.
    3. Qian, Qian & Yang, Yang & Gu, Jing & Feng, Hairong, 2019. "Information authenticity, spreading willingness and credit risk contagion – A dual-layer network perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    4. Baschieri, Giulia & Carosi, Andrea & Mengoli, Stefano, 2016. "Does the earnings quality matter? Evidence from a quasi-experimental setting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 146-157.
    5. David Peón & Manel Antelo, 2019. "Do bad borrowers hurt good borrowers? A model of biased banking competition," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 18(1), pages 5-17, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Contagion effect; Information risk; Credit Default Swaps;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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