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Optimal asset allocation using a combination of implied and historical information

Author

Listed:
  • Cheang, Chi Wan
  • Olmo, Jose
  • Ma, Tiejun
  • Sung, Ming-Chien
  • McGroarty, Frank

Abstract

This paper investigates the contribution of option-implied information for strategic asset allocation for individuals with minimum-variance preferences and portfolios with a variety of assets. We propose a covariance matrix that exploits a mixture of historical and option-implied information. Implied variance measures are proposed for those assets for which option-implied information is available. Historical variance and correlation measures are applied to the remaining assets. The performance of this novel approach for constructing optimal investment portfolios is assessed out-of-sample using statistical and economic measures. An empirical application to a sophisticated portfolio comprised by a combination of equities, fixed income, alternative securities and cash deposits shows that implied variance measures with risk premium correction outperform variance measures constructed from historical data and implied variance without correction. This result is robust across investment portfolios, volatility and portfolio performance metrics, and rebalancing schemes.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheang, Chi Wan & Olmo, Jose & Ma, Tiejun & Sung, Ming-Chien & McGroarty, Frank, 2020. "Optimal asset allocation using a combination of implied and historical information," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:67:y:2020:i:c:s1057521918307774
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2019.101419
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Yi Huang & Wei Zhu & Duan Li & Shushang Zhu & Shikun Wang, 2023. "Integrating Different Informations for Portfolio Selection," Papers 2305.17881, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset allocation; Implied volatility; Historical volatility; Realized variance; Sharpe ratio;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

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