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Multivariate range-based EGARCH models

Author

Listed:
  • Yan, Lili
  • Kellard, Neil M.
  • Lambercy, Lyudmyla

Abstract

The dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) and co-range models are two main frameworks used to incorporate range-based univariate volatility. Using the two approaches, we construct novel multivariate range-based EGARCH (REGARCH) models: a DCC-REGARCH and co-range REGARCH (CRREGARCH) model, and a co-range CARR (CRCARR) model. We compare these models with five existing models over twelve forecast horizons, ranging from one to twelve weeks, covering currencies and ETFs. Among the eight models, the DCC-REGARCH and CRREGARCH models show the best performance in out-of-sample forecasting of the variance-covariance matrix across a range of market conditions and forecast horizons. These models also generate the lowest variance and turnover for global minimum-variance (GMV) portfolios in the majority of cases.

Suggested Citation

  • Yan, Lili & Kellard, Neil M. & Lambercy, Lyudmyla, 2025. "Multivariate range-based EGARCH models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:100:y:2025:i:c:s1057521925000705
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.103983
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Range-based covariance forecasting; EGARCH; DCC; EWMA; Portfolio modelling;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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