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Attractivity analysis of hybrid energy generation based on current energy market scenarios in Brazil

Author

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  • Croce, Leandro Firme
  • Tiago Filho, Geraldo Lúcio
  • Santos, Ivan Felipe Silva dos
  • Barros, Regina Mambeli

Abstract

Hybrid generation encompasses distinct generation sources with the objective of complementing and guaranteed energy supply in a given system. There is an ongoing search for integrating this system within the Brazilian energy matrix, specifically for hydro, wind, and solar sources, taking the form of Hybrid Generation Power Plants (HGPP). The attractiveness of these operations is evaluated by their technical and economic potential, implementation costs, and electrical energy rates. This analysis can aid decision-making regarding the implementation of these systems, in addition to serving as a determining factor for energy planning in Brazil. The article presents the viability analysis of these systems, supported by the computational tool Homer Pro® and in some economic indicators, such as Net Present Value (NPV) and Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE), as well as the capacity factor and economic fluctuations. NPV distinguishes the HGPP which can be used in the adopted conditions, while LCOE reflects the reality in the studied locations and installations. The sensitivity study defined the initial investment and energy generation as the main change-promoting variables for these systems. The capacity factor analysis provided complementarity analysis between sources, especially in the most attractive regions of the South, Southeast, and Northeast of Brazil.

Suggested Citation

  • Croce, Leandro Firme & Tiago Filho, Geraldo Lúcio & Santos, Ivan Felipe Silva dos & Barros, Regina Mambeli, 2025. "Attractivity analysis of hybrid energy generation based on current energy market scenarios in Brazil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:318:y:2025:i:c:s0360544225004542
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2025.134812
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