IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v230y2021ics036054422101152x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A novel wind speed prediction strategy based on Bi-LSTM, MOOFADA and transfer learning for centralized control centers

Author

Listed:
  • Liang, Tao
  • Zhao, Qing
  • Lv, Qingzhao
  • Sun, Hexu

Abstract

With the rapid development of wind power generation, a centralized monitoring center for wind farms has emerged to save investment and reduce operating costs. However, it is a daunting challenge for the intelligent wind speed prediction system of centralized control center to realize the wind speed prediction of wind farms in different environments. To this end, this paper proposes a multi-wind farm wind speed prediction strategy suitable for wind farm centralized control center. Firstly, the Bi-LSTM deep learning model is pre-trained with the historical data of four wind farms in typical geographical locations to obtain four intelligent wind speed prediction models with different characteristic parameters. Then, transfer learning is used to transfer the four pre-trained models to the wind farm centralized control center, and the wind speed of any wind farm can be predicted using these four Bi-LSTM models. Finally, the MOOFADA optimization algorithm is used to weight the four sets of prediction results to obtain the optimal wind speed prediction results. Experiments and comparisons with a variety of algorithms show that this algorithm is far higher in prediction accuracy than other algorithms, and has strong adaptability, which can be widely used in wind speed prediction for wind farms.

Suggested Citation

  • Liang, Tao & Zhao, Qing & Lv, Qingzhao & Sun, Hexu, 2021. "A novel wind speed prediction strategy based on Bi-LSTM, MOOFADA and transfer learning for centralized control centers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:230:y:2021:i:c:s036054422101152x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.120904
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S036054422101152X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2021.120904?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liu, Zhenkun & Jiang, Ping & Zhang, Lifang & Niu, Xinsong, 2020. "A combined forecasting model for time series: Application to short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    2. Liu, Hui & Yu, Chengqing & Wu, Haiping & Duan, Zhu & Yan, Guangxi, 2020. "A new hybrid ensemble deep reinforcement learning model for wind speed short term forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    3. Niu, Xinsong & Wang, Jiyang, 2019. "A combined model based on data preprocessing strategy and multi-objective optimization algorithm for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C), pages 519-539.
    4. Zhang, Kequan & Qu, Zongxi & Dong, Yunxuan & Lu, Haiyan & Leng, Wennan & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Wenyu, 2019. "Research on a combined model based on linear and nonlinear features - A case study of wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 814-830.
    5. Xiao, Liye & Shao, Wei & Yu, Mengxia & Ma, Jing & Jin, Congjun, 2017. "Research and application of a combined model based on multi-objective optimization for electrical load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 1057-1074.
    6. Aasim, & Singh, S.N. & Mohapatra, Abheejeet, 2019. "Repeated wavelet transform based ARIMA model for very short-term wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 758-768.
    7. Chang, G.W. & Lu, H.J. & Chang, Y.R. & Lee, Y.D., 2017. "An improved neural network-based approach for short-term wind speed and power forecast," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 301-311.
    8. Song, Jingjing & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan, 2018. "A novel combined model based on advanced optimization algorithm for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 643-658.
    9. Hu, Qinghua & Zhang, Rujia & Zhou, Yucan, 2016. "Transfer learning for short-term wind speed prediction with deep neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 83-95.
    10. Yingying Zhao & Dongsheng Li & Ao Dong & Dahai Kang & Qin Lv & Li Shang, 2017. "Fault Prediction and Diagnosis of Wind Turbine Generators Using SCADA Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-17, August.
    11. Hoolohan, Victoria & Tomlin, Alison S. & Cockerill, Timothy, 2018. "Improved near surface wind speed predictions using Gaussian process regression combined with numerical weather predictions and observed meteorological data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 1043-1054.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xiaoxun, Zhu & Zixu, Xu & Yu, Wang & Xiaoxia, Gao & Xinyu, Hang & Hongkun, Lu & Ruizhang, Liu & Yao, Chen & Huaxin, Liu, 2023. "Research on wind speed behavior prediction method based on multi-feature and multi-scale integrated learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
    2. Hu, Yahui & Guo, Yingshi & Fu, Rui, 2023. "A novel wind speed forecasting combined model using variational mode decomposition, sparse auto-encoder and optimized fuzzy cognitive mapping network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
    3. Hu, Yusha & Li, Jigeng & Hong, Mengna & Ren, Jingzheng & Man, Yi, 2022. "Industrial artificial intelligence based energy management system: Integrated framework for electricity load forecasting and fault prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PB).
    4. Ren, Yuting & Li, Zhuolin & Xu, Lingyu & Yu, Jie, 2023. "The data-based adaptive graph learning network for analysis and prediction of offshore wind speed," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    5. Li, Yang & Shen, Xiaojun & Zhou, Chongcheng, 2023. "Dynamic multi-turbines spatiotemporal correlation model enabled digital twin technology for real-time wind speed prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 841-853.
    6. Wei, Nan & Yin, Chuang & Yin, Lihua & Tan, Jingyi & Liu, Jinyuan & Wang, Shouxi & Qiao, Weibiao & Zeng, Fanhua, 2024. "Short-term load forecasting based on WM algorithm and transfer learning model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    7. Liu, Ling & Wang, Jujie & Li, Jianping & Wei, Lu, 2023. "An online transfer learning model for wind turbine power prediction based on spatial feature construction and system-wide update," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
    8. Joseph, Lionel P. & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Prasad, Ramendra & Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho & Raj, Nawin & Soar, Jeffrey, 2023. "Near real-time wind speed forecast model with bidirectional LSTM networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 39-58.
    9. Xujian Zhao & Wei Li, 2021. "Trend Prediction of Event Popularity from Microblogs," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-13, August.
    10. Rami Al-Hajj & Ali Assi & Bilel Neji & Raymond Ghandour & Zaher Al Barakeh, 2023. "Transfer Learning for Renewable Energy Systems: A Survey," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-28, June.
    11. Ma, Zhengjing & Mei, Gang, 2022. "A hybrid attention-based deep learning approach for wind power prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    12. Wang, Ying & Wang, Jianzhou & Li, Zhiwu & Yang, Hufang & Li, Hongmin, 2021. "Design of a combined system based on two-stage data preprocessing and multi-objective optimization for wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    13. Zhihao Shang & Quan Wen & Yanhua Chen & Bing Zhou & Mingliang Xu, 2022. "Wind Speed Forecasting Using Attention-Based Causal Convolutional Network and Wind Energy Conversion," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-23, April.
    14. Li, Ke & Shen, Ruifang & Wang, Zhenguo & Yan, Bowen & Yang, Qingshan & Zhou, Xuhong, 2023. "An efficient wind speed prediction method based on a deep neural network without future information leakage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    15. Kui Yang & Bofu Wang & Xiang Qiu & Jiahua Li & Yuze Wang & Yulu Liu, 2022. "Multi-Step Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction Models Based on Adaptive Robust Decomposition Coupled with Deep Gated Recurrent Unit," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-24, June.
    16. Huang, Zhiwen & Li, Tong & Huang, Kexin & Ke, Hanbing & Lin, Mei & Wang, Qiuwang, 2022. "Predictions of flow and temperature fields in a T-junction based on dynamic mode decomposition and deep learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    17. Geng, Xiulin & Xu, Lingyu & He, Xiaoyu & Yu, Jie, 2021. "Graph optimization neural network with spatio-temporal correlation learning for multi-node offshore wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 1014-1025.
    18. Yu, Enbo & Xu, Guoji & Han, Yan & Li, Yongle, 2022. "An efficient short-term wind speed prediction model based on cross-channel data integration and attention mechanisms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    19. Parri, Srihari & Teeparthi, Kiran & Kosana, Vishalteja, 2024. "A hybrid methodology using VMD and disentangled features for wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    20. Shang, Zhihao & He, Zhaoshuang & Chen, Yao & Chen, Yanhua & Xu, MingLiang, 2022. "Short-term wind speed forecasting system based on multivariate time series and multi-objective optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    21. Bai, Yulong & Liu, Ming-De & Ding, Lin & Ma, Yong-Jie, 2021. "Double-layer staged training echo-state networks for wind speed prediction using variational mode decomposition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    22. Zhang, Yagang & Zhang, Jinghui & Yu, Leyi & Pan, Zhiya & Feng, Changyou & Sun, Yiqian & Wang, Fei, 2022. "A short-term wind energy hybrid optimal prediction system with denoising and novel error correction technique," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PC).
    23. Li, Jiale & Song, Zihao & Wang, Xuefei & Wang, Yanru & Jia, Yaya, 2022. "A novel offshore wind farm typhoon wind speed prediction model based on PSO–Bi-LSTM improved by VMD," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Xingdou & Zhang, Li & Wang, Jiangong & Zhou, Yue & Gan, Wei, 2023. "A unified multi-step wind speed forecasting framework based on numerical weather prediction grids and wind farm monitoring data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 948-963.
    2. Wang, Jianzhou & Gao, Jialu & Wei, Danxiang, 2022. "Electric load prediction based on a novel combined interval forecasting system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    3. Chen, Xi & Yu, Ruyi & Ullah, Sajid & Wu, Dianming & Li, Zhiqiang & Li, Qingli & Qi, Honggang & Liu, Jihui & Liu, Min & Zhang, Yundong, 2022. "A novel loss function of deep learning in wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
    4. Wang, Ying & Wang, Jianzhou & Li, Zhiwu & Yang, Hufang & Li, Hongmin, 2021. "Design of a combined system based on two-stage data preprocessing and multi-objective optimization for wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    5. Shang, Zhihao & He, Zhaoshuang & Chen, Yao & Chen, Yanhua & Xu, MingLiang, 2022. "Short-term wind speed forecasting system based on multivariate time series and multi-objective optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    6. Liu, Hui & Duan, Zhu & Chen, Chao, 2020. "Wind speed big data forecasting using time-variant multi-resolution ensemble model with clustering auto-encoder," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    7. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    8. Zhang, Lifang & Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Xinsong & Liu, Zhenkun, 2021. "Ensemble wind speed forecasting with multi-objective Archimedes optimization algorithm and sub-model selection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    9. Wang, Jianzhou & An, Yining & Li, Zhiwu & Lu, Haiyan, 2022. "A novel combined forecasting model based on neural networks, deep learning approaches, and multi-objective optimization for short-term wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    10. Li, Ke & Shen, Ruifang & Wang, Zhenguo & Yan, Bowen & Yang, Qingshan & Zhou, Xuhong, 2023. "An efficient wind speed prediction method based on a deep neural network without future information leakage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    11. Sizhou Sun & Jingqi Fu & Ang Li, 2019. "A Compound Wind Power Forecasting Strategy Based on Clustering, Two-Stage Decomposition, Parameter Optimization, and Optimal Combination of Multiple Machine Learning Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-22, September.
    12. Pan, Xiaoxin & Wang, Long & Wang, Zhongju & Huang, Chao, 2022. "Short-term wind speed forecasting based on spatial-temporal graph transformer networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    13. Lv, Sheng-Xiang & Wang, Lin, 2022. "Deep learning combined wind speed forecasting with hybrid time series decomposition and multi-objective parameter optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
    14. Lu, Peng & Ye, Lin & Pei, Ming & Zhao, Yongning & Dai, Binhua & Li, Zhuo, 2022. "Short-term wind power forecasting based on meteorological feature extraction and optimization strategy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 642-661.
    15. Jiang, Ping & Liu, Zhenkun & Niu, Xinsong & Zhang, Lifang, 2021. "A combined forecasting system based on statistical method, artificial neural networks, and deep learning methods for short-term wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    16. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao, 2019. "Data processing strategies in wind energy forecasting models and applications: A comprehensive review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 392-408.
    17. Lu, Peng & Ye, Lin & Tang, Yong & Zhao, Yongning & Zhong, Wuzhi & Qu, Ying & Zhai, Bingxu, 2021. "Ultra-short-term combined prediction approach based on kernel function switch mechanism," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 842-866.
    18. Ding, Lin & Bai, Yulong & Liu, Ming-De & Fan, Man-Hong & Yang, Jie, 2022. "Predicting short wind speed with a hybrid model based on a piecewise error correction method and Elman neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
    19. Zifa Liu & Xinyi Li & Haiyan Zhao, 2023. "Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Feature Analysis and Error Correction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-24, May.
    20. Hu, Shuai & Xiang, Yue & Zhang, Hongcai & Xie, Shanyi & Li, Jianhua & Gu, Chenghong & Sun, Wei & Liu, Junyong, 2021. "Hybrid forecasting method for wind power integrating spatial correlation and corrected numerical weather prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:230:y:2021:i:c:s036054422101152x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.