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A novel wind speed prediction strategy based on Bi-LSTM, MOOFADA and transfer learning for centralized control centers

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  • Liang, Tao
  • Zhao, Qing
  • Lv, Qingzhao
  • Sun, Hexu

Abstract

With the rapid development of wind power generation, a centralized monitoring center for wind farms has emerged to save investment and reduce operating costs. However, it is a daunting challenge for the intelligent wind speed prediction system of centralized control center to realize the wind speed prediction of wind farms in different environments. To this end, this paper proposes a multi-wind farm wind speed prediction strategy suitable for wind farm centralized control center. Firstly, the Bi-LSTM deep learning model is pre-trained with the historical data of four wind farms in typical geographical locations to obtain four intelligent wind speed prediction models with different characteristic parameters. Then, transfer learning is used to transfer the four pre-trained models to the wind farm centralized control center, and the wind speed of any wind farm can be predicted using these four Bi-LSTM models. Finally, the MOOFADA optimization algorithm is used to weight the four sets of prediction results to obtain the optimal wind speed prediction results. Experiments and comparisons with a variety of algorithms show that this algorithm is far higher in prediction accuracy than other algorithms, and has strong adaptability, which can be widely used in wind speed prediction for wind farms.

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  • Liang, Tao & Zhao, Qing & Lv, Qingzhao & Sun, Hexu, 2021. "A novel wind speed prediction strategy based on Bi-LSTM, MOOFADA and transfer learning for centralized control centers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:230:y:2021:i:c:s036054422101152x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.120904
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    14. Joseph, Lionel P. & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Prasad, Ramendra & Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho & Raj, Nawin & Soar, Jeffrey, 2023. "Near real-time wind speed forecast model with bidirectional LSTM networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 39-58.
    15. Xujian Zhao & Wei Li, 2021. "Trend Prediction of Event Popularity from Microblogs," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-13, August.
    16. Wang, Ying & Wang, Jianzhou & Li, Zhiwu & Yang, Hufang & Li, Hongmin, 2021. "Design of a combined system based on two-stage data preprocessing and multi-objective optimization for wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
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    18. Huang, Zhiwen & Li, Tong & Huang, Kexin & Ke, Hanbing & Lin, Mei & Wang, Qiuwang, 2022. "Predictions of flow and temperature fields in a T-junction based on dynamic mode decomposition and deep learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    19. Parri, Srihari & Teeparthi, Kiran & Kosana, Vishalteja, 2024. "A hybrid methodology using VMD and disentangled features for wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
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