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Estimates of China's national and regional transport sector CO2 emissions in 2007

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  • Cai, Bofeng
  • Yang, Weishan
  • Cao, Dong
  • Liu, Lancui
  • Zhou, Ying
  • Zhang, Zhansheng

Abstract

This study has proposed a new solution concerning fuel consumption in China's transport sector, which has provided a more accurate basis for estimating CO2 emissions in the transport sector both on national and regional level. Our analysis indicated that CO2 emissions in China's transport sector in 2007 reached to 436Mt, higher than 408Mt estimated by IEA. The CO2 emissions in transport sector accounted for 7% of China's total fossil fuel combustion CO2 emissions, which is much lower than the global average level of 23%. The CO2 emission from road transportation was 376.6Mt, 37% higher than IEA's estimation. Therefore we thought IEA significantly underestimated the amount of CO2 emissions from road transportation in China, inevitably they overestimated CO2 emissions in other transportation means. The IEA's result of road transportation CO2 emissions is only 67.64% in the entire transport sector, but our study showed this ratio could be up to 86.32%. This study also preliminarily analyzed the driving-forces of CO2 emissions in transport sector at regional level. The results showed that the CO2 emissions in transport sector are closely associated with GDP. Finally the article had reviewed some policies in China's transport sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Cai, Bofeng & Yang, Weishan & Cao, Dong & Liu, Lancui & Zhou, Ying & Zhang, Zhansheng, 2012. "Estimates of China's national and regional transport sector CO2 emissions in 2007," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 474-483.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:41:y:2012:i:c:p:474-483
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.11.008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Timilsina, Govinda R. & Shrestha, Ashish, 2009. "Transport sector CO2 emissions growth in Asia: Underlying factors and policy options," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4523-4539, November.
    2. He, Kebin & Huo, Hong & Zhang, Qiang & He, Dongquan & An, Feng & Wang, Michael & Walsh, Michael P., 2005. "Oil consumption and CO2 emissions in China's road transport: current status, future trends, and policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(12), pages 1499-1507, August.
    3. Timilsina, Govinda R. & Shrestha, Ashish, 2009. "Why have CO2 emissions increased in the transport sector in Asia ? underlying factors and policy options," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5098, The World Bank.
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    13. Hao, Han & Geng, Yong & Li, Weiqi & Guo, Bin, 2015. "Energy consumption and GHG emissions from China's freight transport sector: Scenarios through 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 94-101.
    14. Peng, Tianduo & Ou, Xunmin & Yuan, Zhiyi & Yan, Xiaoyu & Zhang, Xiliang, 2018. "Development and application of China provincial road transport energy demand and GHG emissions analysis model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 313-328.
    15. Yousaf Raza, Muhammad & Lin, Boqiang, 2022. "Natural gas consumption, energy efficiency and low carbon transition in Pakistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    16. Linna Li, 2019. "Structure and influencing factors of CO2 emissions from transport sector in three major metropolitan regions of China: estimation and decomposition," Transportation, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1245-1269, August.
    17. Hualong Yang & Xuefei Ma & Yuwei Xing, 2017. "Trends in CO 2 Emissions from China-Oriented International Marine Transportation Activities and Policy Implications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-17, July.
    18. Jialin Liu & Yi Zhu & Qun Zhang & Fangyan Cheng & Xi Hu & Xinhong Cui & Lang Zhang & Zhenglin Sun, 2020. "Transportation Carbon Emissions from a Perspective of Sustainable Development in Major Cities of Yangtze River Delta, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-18, December.
    19. Jiefang Dong & Chun Deng & Rongrong Li & Jieyu Huang, 2016. "Moving Low-Carbon Transportation in Xinjiang: Evidence from STIRPAT and Rigid Regression Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, December.
    20. Hualong Yang & Xuefei Ma, 2019. "Uncovering CO 2 Emissions Patterns from China-Oriented International Maritime Transport: Decomposition and Decoupling Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, May.
    21. Lo, Kevin, 2014. "A critical review of China's rapidly developing renewable energy and energy efficiency policies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 508-516.
    22. Liu, Xue & Ma, Shoufeng & Tian, Junfang & Jia, Ning & Li, Geng, 2015. "A system dynamics approach to scenario analysis for urban passenger transport energy consumption and CO2 emissions: A case study of Beijing," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 253-270.
    23. Li, Fangyi & Cai, Bofeng & Ye, Zhaoyang & Wang, Zheng & Zhang, Wei & Zhou, Pan & Chen, Jian, 2019. "Changing patterns and determinants of transportation carbon emissions in Chinese cities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 562-575.
    24. Zhang, Chuanguo & Nian, Jiang, 2013. "Panel estimation for transport sector CO2 emissions and its affecting factors: A regional analysis in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 918-926.
    25. Guo, Taolei & Liu, Pei & Wang, Chao & Xie, Jingci & Du, Jianbang & Lim, Ming K., 2023. "Toward sustainable port-hinterland transportation: A holistic approach to design modal shift policy mixes," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).

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    China; Transport sector; CO2 emissions;
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