IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v179y2023ics0301421523002161.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Calm before the storm: Market prices in a power market with an increasing share of wind power

Author

Listed:
  • Grohnheit, Poul Erik
  • Sneum, Daniel Møller

Abstract

Western Denmark is a separate bidding area in the North-Western European power market, Nord Pool. Wind power now exceeds 50% of production annually in Western Denmark. Hourly market data from 1999 onwards are publicly available from the Danish TSO. In this paper, we analyse these data for 2009–2021. Until the energy crisis began in 2021, the Nordic power market has shown relatively stable prices. While extreme events are moderately increasing, the value factor of wind is stable. Thus, the current infrastructure – flexible power plants, interconnectors and electrification of district heating – and market organisation can manage the amount of wind power installed. In other words: 2009–2021 show a well-functioning market economy of dispatch, operating on top of a planned economy of investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Grohnheit, Poul Erik & Sneum, Daniel Møller, 2023. "Calm before the storm: Market prices in a power market with an increasing share of wind power," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:179:y:2023:i:c:s0301421523002161
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113631
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421523002161
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113631?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Klinge Jacobsen, Henrik & Zvingilaite, Erika, 2010. "Reducing the market impact of large shares of intermittent energy in Denmark," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3403-3413, July.
    2. Fogelberg, Sara & Lazarczyk, Ewa, 2017. "Wind power volatility and its impact on production failures in the Nordic electricity market," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 96-105.
    3. Averfalk, Helge & Ingvarsson, Paul & Persson, Urban & Gong, Mei & Werner, Sven, 2017. "Large heat pumps in Swedish district heating systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1275-1284.
    4. Lund, Henrik & Clark, Woodrow W., 2002. "Management of fluctuations in wind power and CHP comparing two possible Danish strategies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 471-483.
    5. Grohnheit, Poul Erik & Andersen, Frits Møller & Larsen, Helge V., 2011. "Area price and demand response in a market with 25% wind power," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(12), pages 8051-8061.
    6. Tveten, Åsa Grytli & Bolkesjø, Torjus Folsland & Martinsen, Thomas & Hvarnes, Håvard, 2013. "Solar feed-in tariffs and the merit order effect: A study of the German electricity market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 761-770.
    7. Unger, Elizabeth A. & Ulfarsson, Gudmundur F. & Gardarsson, Sigurdur M. & Matthiasson, Thorolfur, 2018. "The effect of wind energy production on cross-border electricity pricing: The case of western Denmark in the Nord Pool market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 121-130.
    8. Lion Hirth, 2015. "The Optimal Share of Variable Renewables: How the Variability of Wind and Solar Power affects their Welfare-optimal Deployment," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    9. Uribe, Jorge M. & Mosquera-López, Stephanía & Guillen, Montserrat, 2020. "Characterizing electricity market integration in Nord Pool," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    10. Ole Jess Olsen & Klaus Skytte, 2003. "Competition and Market Power in Northern Europe," Chapters, in: Jean-Michael Glachant & Dominique Finon (ed.), Competition in European Electricity Markets, chapter 7, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    11. Duffy, Aidan & Hand, Maureen & Wiser, Ryan & Lantz, Eric & Dalla Riva, Alberto & Berkhout, Volker & Stenkvist, Maria & Weir, David & Lacal-Arántegui, Roberto, 2020. "Land-based wind energy cost trends in Germany, Denmark, Ireland, Norway, Sweden and the United States," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ketterer, Janina C., 2014. "The impact of wind power generation on the electricity price in Germany," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 270-280.
    2. David Wozabal & Christoph Graf & David Hirschmann, 2016. "The effect of intermittent renewables on the electricity price variance," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 38(3), pages 687-709, July.
    3. Schöniger, Franziska & Morawetz, Ulrich B., 2022. "What comes down must go up: Why fluctuating renewable energy does not necessarily increase electricity spot price variance in Europe," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    4. Per B. Solibakke, 2022. "Step‐ahead spot price densities using daily synchronously reported prices and wind forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 17-42, January.
    5. Abban, Abdul Rashid & Hasan, Mohammad Z., 2021. "Solar energy penetration and volatility transmission to electricity markets—An Australian perspective," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 434-449.
    6. repec:dau:papers:123456789/15247 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Kirkerud, Jon Gustav & Bolkesjø, Torjus Folsland & Trømborg, Erik, 2017. "Power-to-heat as a flexibility measure for integration of renewable energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 776-784.
    8. Macedo, Daniela Pereira & Marques, António Cardoso & Damette, Olivier, 2022. "The role of electricity flows and renewable electricity production in the behaviour of electricity prices in Spain," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 885-900.
    9. Dorotić, Hrvoje & Ban, Marko & Pukšec, Tomislav & Duić, Neven, 2020. "Impact of wind penetration in electricity markets on optimal power-to-heat capacities in a local district heating system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    10. Hartner, Michael & Permoser, Andreas, 2018. "Through the valley: The impact of PV penetration levels on price volatility and resulting revenues for storage plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 1184-1195.
    11. Blarke, Morten B. & Dotzauer, Erik, 2011. "Intermittency-friendly and high-efficiency cogeneration: Operational optimisation of cogeneration with compression heat pump, flue gas heat recovery, and intermediate cold storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 6867-6878.
    12. Klinge Jacobsen, Henrik & Schröder, Sascha Thorsten, 2012. "Curtailment of renewable generation: Economic optimality and incentives," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 663-675.
    13. Sorknæs, Peter & Lund, Henrik & Andersen, Anders N., 2015. "Future power market and sustainable energy solutions – The treatment of uncertainties in the daily operation of combined heat and power plants," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 129-138.
    14. Dahlke, Steven & Sterling, John & Meehan, Colin, 2019. "Policy and market drivers for advancing clean energy," OSF Preprints hsbry, Center for Open Science.
    15. Keppler, Jan Horst & Quemin, Simon & Saguan, Marcelo, 2022. "Why the sustainable provision of low-carbon electricity needs hybrid markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    16. Sihvonen, Ville & Ollila, Iisa & Jaanto, Jasmin & Grönman, Aki & Honkapuro, Samuli & Riikonen, Juhani & Price, Alisdair, 2024. "Role of power-to-heat and thermal energy storage in decarbonization of district heating," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    17. Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Qu, Songze & Ancev, Tihomir, 2019. "The effect of wind and solar power generation on wholesale electricity prices in Australia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 358-369.
    18. William Paul Bell & John Foster, 2017. "Using solar PV feed-in tariff policy history to inform a sustainable flexible pricing regime to enhance the diffusion of energy storage and electric vehicles," Journal of Bioeconomics, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 127-145, April.
    19. Lyu, Chenyan & Do, Hung Xuan & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2024. "Volatility spillovers and carbon price in the Nordic wholesale electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    20. Rehner, Robert & McCauley, Darren, 2016. "Security, justice and the energy crossroads: Assessing the implications of the nuclear phase-out in Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 289-298.
    21. Woo, C.K. & Zarnikau, J. & Moore, J. & Horowitz, I., 2011. "Wind generation and zonal-market price divergence: Evidence from Texas," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 3928-3938, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:179:y:2023:i:c:s0301421523002161. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.