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Measuring the welfare effects of reducing a subsidy on a commodity using micro-models: An application to Kuwait's residential demand for electricity

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  • BuShehri, Mahmoud A.M.
  • Wohlgenant, Michael K.

Abstract

This paper provides a conceptual and empirical approach for evaluating the direct benefits and costs that are associated with reforming the price of a subsidized commodity using a micro-model. The welfare analysis is based on two alternative scenarios, a hypothetical percentage increase in the price of the commodity and a hypothetical percentage decrease in the amount of subsidy. The latter is considered to be a simultaneous problem in which the exact price of the commodity that reduces consumption, and subsequently the subsidy to the specific target level needs to be determined first. As a case study, the paper utilizes the most recent Household Expenditure Survey in the State of Kuwait to estimate residential electricity demand for different household groups (i.e., low-, middle-, and high-income), and employs a partial equilibrium model to measure the welfare implications that may result from a reduction in the electricity subsidy rates. The empirical findings show that a small increase in the price of electricity would reduce annual consumption by 4741millionkWh and annual subsidy by US$734 million. The results also show that the loss in consumers’ welfare is approximately US$145 million, while the financial and environmental benefits to the society ranges between US$658 million and US$889 million. The magnitude of these welfare gains suggests that electricity price reforms combined with a rebate scheme to compensate households for their welfare loss, offsetting any political resistance to reform, is a win-win situation.

Suggested Citation

  • BuShehri, Mahmoud A.M. & Wohlgenant, Michael K., 2012. "Measuring the welfare effects of reducing a subsidy on a commodity using micro-models: An application to Kuwait's residential demand for electricity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 419-425.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:34:y:2012:i:2:p:419-425
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2011.08.001
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    5. Manal R. SHEHABI, 2017. "Assessing Kuwaiti Energy Pricing Reforms," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 17-08, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
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    9. Gelan, Ayele U., 2018. "Kuwait's energy subsidy reduction: Examining economic and CO2 emission effects with or without compensation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 186-200.
    10. Lin, Boqiang & Wang, Yao, 2020. "Does energy poverty really exist in China? From the perspective of residential electricity consumption," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    11. Wang, Yao & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "Performance of alternative electricity prices on residential welfare in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
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    13. Lam Do & Thai-Ha Le, 2023. "On the welfare effect of retail electricity subsidy in Vietnam," Journal of Economics and Development, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 25(4), pages 286-301, August.
    14. Osama Alfalah & Lama Alhumaidan & Deniz Baglan, 2020. "The Demand for Electricity in Kuwait: A Cointegration Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 9-13.
    15. Al Iriani, Mahmoud A. & Trabelsi, Mohamed, 2016. "The economic impact of phasing out energy consumption subsidies in GCC countries," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 35-49.
    16. Lam Do, Truong Phuong, 2021. "Retail Electricity Subsidy in Vietnam : Review and Welfare Effect Under Reform," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers 31, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers.
    17. Alshawaf, Mohammad & Poudineh, Rahmatallah & Alhajeri, Nawaf S., 2020. "Solar PV in Kuwait: The effect of ambient temperature and sandstorms on output variability and uncertainty," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    18. Hua Liao & Zhi-Shuang Zhu & Lu Wang, 2011. "Impact of removal of city gas subsidies on Chinese urban residents," CEEP-BIT Working Papers 23, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEP), Beijing Institute of Technology.
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