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Impacts of border carbon adjustments on the Canadian economy

Author

Listed:
  • Jebeli, Hossein
  • Chen, Y.-H. Henry
  • Johnston, Craig
  • Paltsev, Sergey
  • Tremblay, Marie-Christine

Abstract

This paper examines how border carbon adjustments (BCAs) may address the consequences of uncoordinated global climate action, focusing on the economic impacts for Canada. We investigate these impacts under different BCA design features and by considering a coalition of countries and regions that adopt BCAs. We find that when Canada is within a coalition of BCA-implementing countries including the United States, BCA measures in the form of import tariffs reduce Canada's carbon leakage and boost domestic and foreign competitiveness. We show that these results may change if Canada imposes BCAs on a different set of sectors than the rest of the coalition or includes export rebates and free emissions allowances to firms. When Canada remains in the coalition while the United States does not, we show that Canada's carbon leakage increases, domestic competitiveness weakens, and foreign competitiveness improves.

Suggested Citation

  • Jebeli, Hossein & Chen, Y.-H. Henry & Johnston, Craig & Paltsev, Sergey & Tremblay, Marie-Christine, 2025. "Impacts of border carbon adjustments on the Canadian economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:141:y:2025:i:c:s0140988324007989
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108089
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; International topics; Trade integration; Carbon emissions; Border adjustment mechanisms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics
    • Q37 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Issues in International Trade

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